La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Qadsiah v Al-Nassr
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Qadsiah (Local)
Predicción 29.06%3.44momio equitativo
EV +4.90%
Ventaja +1.36%
Kelly +1.88%
Crecimiento +0.092%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.84%29.16%29.18%30.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.163.203.6136.36%31.63%31.25%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Nassr (Visitante)
Predicción 47.58%2.10momio equitativo
EV -3.89%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -3.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.02%47.48%47.51%49.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.891.882.0255.25%52.82%53.19%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.36%4.28momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.503%
Kelly -0.660%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.66%23.35%23.31%25.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.833.854.1930.77%26.13%25.97%23.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.84%EV +4.90%E +1.36%K +1.88%G +0.092% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.69%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.46%EV -3.51%E -0.849%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.08%E -5.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.72%EV -11.03%E -5.90%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.05%E -2.61%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Coral | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.61%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.33%EV -5.85%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.99%EV -5.79%E -2.93%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.68%EV -2.11%E -0.503%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.60%E -5.05%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.55%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -12.93%E -7.07%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -12.93%E -7.07%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.82%EV -13.88%E -7.67%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -3.89%E -1.93%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 17:58 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.55%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 17:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -8.65%E -4.50%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.41%EV -9.35%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.62%EV -9.60%E -5.05%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -9.12%E -4.78%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.98%E -6.48%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.55%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.98%E -6.48%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.55%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.98%E -6.48%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.55%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.98%E -6.48%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.55%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.59%EV -7.70%E -3.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.12%E -4.78%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -12.93%E -7.07%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -24.07%E -7.41%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.97%EV -15.73%E -5.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.22%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.81%EV -14.72%E -4.03%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.72%EV -15.73%E -5.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.34%EV -11.50%E -6.18%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -15.89%E -4.41%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.90%EV -20.09%E -7.31%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -12.93%E -7.07%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.66%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18% | 2.7% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.44% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 47.13% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.44% | 21.2% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |