L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Al-Qadsiah v Al-Nassr
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Qadsiah (Local)
Prévision 29.06%3.44cote équitable
EV +4.90%
Avantage +1.36%
Kelly +1.88%
Croissance +0.092%
avec la cote maximale 3.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.84%29.16%29.18%30.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.163.203.6136.36%31.63%31.25%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Nassr (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.58%2.10cote équitable
EV -3.89%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -3.81%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.02%47.48%47.51%49.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.891.882.0255.25%52.82%53.19%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.36%4.28cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.503%
Kelly -0.660%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.19
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.66%23.35%23.31%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.833.854.1930.77%26.13%25.97%23.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.84%EV +4.90%E +1.36%K +1.88%G +0.092% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.69%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.46%EV -3.51%E -0.849%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.08%E -5.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -4.11%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.72%EV -11.03%E -5.90%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.05%E -2.61%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Coral | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.61%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.33%EV -5.85%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.99%EV -5.79%E -2.93%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.68%EV -2.11%E -0.503%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.60%E -5.05%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.55%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -12.93%E -7.07%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -12.93%E -7.07%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.82%EV -13.88%E -7.67%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -3.89%E -1.93%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 17:58 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.55%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 17:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -8.65%E -4.50%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.41%EV -9.35%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.62%EV -9.60%E -5.05%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -8.88%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -9.12%E -4.78%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.98%E -6.48%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.55%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.98%E -6.48%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.55%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.98%E -6.48%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.55%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.98%E -6.48%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.55%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.59%EV -7.70%E -3.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.12%E -4.78%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -12.93%E -7.07%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -24.07%E -7.41%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.97%EV -15.73%E -5.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.22%EV -10.55%E -5.61%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.81%EV -14.72%E -4.03%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.72%EV -15.73%E -5.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.34%EV -11.50%E -6.18%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -15.89%E -4.41%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.90%EV -20.09%E -7.31%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -12.93%E -7.07%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.66%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-05-03 17:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18% | 2.7% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.44% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 47.13% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.44% | 21.2% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |