A Escola das Odds

Al-Qadsiah v Al-Hazem

Início: 2026-05-14 18:00 UTC

Final: Al-Qadsiah 2–0 Al-Hazem

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

31 casas de apostas (7 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Al-Qadsiah (Local)

Previsão 79.46%1.26odd justa
EV -4.65%
Vantagem -3.87%
Kelly -23.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.14%79.52%79.68%82.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.101.151.151.2090.91%87.08%86.96%83.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Hazem (Visitante)

Previsão 8.20%12.20odd justa
EV +9.03%
Vantagem +0.679%
Kelly +0.734%
Crescimento +0.066%

pressupondo odds máximas de 13.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.89%8.21%7.83%9.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
9.5011.6112.0013.3010.53%8.61%8.33%7.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 12.34%8.10odd justa
EV +11.56%
Vantagem +1.28%
Kelly +1.44%
Crescimento +0.166%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.71%12.27%12.49%13.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.507.307.009.0415.38%13.70%14.29%11.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (31 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.02%EV -6.23%E -5.28%K -34.64%G +0.000%13.30I 7.52%NM 7.28%EV +9.03%E +0.679%K +0.734%G +0.066%9.04I 11.06%NM 10.71%EV +11.56%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.166%3.3%2026-05-14 17:55
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 81.45%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%12.49I 8.01%NM 7.56%EV +2.39%E +0.191%K +0.208%G +0.005%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.99%EV +6.13%E +0.713%K +0.807%G +0.049%5.8%2026-05-14 17:51
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -11.80%E -10.63%K -107.25%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +6.57%E +0.505%K +0.547%G +0.036%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV +4.90%E +0.576%K +0.653%G +0.032%9.5%2026-05-14 17:45
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -4.65%E -3.87%K -23.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -9.83%E -0.894%K -0.983%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -1.27%E -0.159%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -4.65%E -3.87%K -23.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -9.83%E -0.894%K -0.983%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -1.27%E -0.159%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 17:40
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.42%EV -10.21%E -9.03%K -78.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV +6.57%E +0.505%K +0.547%G +0.036%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -1.27%E -0.159%K -0.182%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 17:31
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 81.36%EV -12.59%E -11.45%K -125.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -1.63%E -0.136%K -0.148%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -1.27%E -0.159%K -0.182%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-14 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.70%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -18.03%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.44%E -0.993%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.06%EV -9.41%E -8.26%K -67.24%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.77%EV -3.68%E -0.313%K -0.342%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.44%E -0.993%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 17:44
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 79.76%EV -11.80%E -10.63%K -107.25%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.43%EV -13.93%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -7.44%E -0.993%K -1.15%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-14 17:46
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.14%EV -8.62%E -7.49%K -57.46%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -22.12%E -2.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.40%EV -10.53%E -1.45%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.03%E -6.01%K -41.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -1.63%E -0.136%K -0.148%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 17:55
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +2.47%E +0.197%K +0.215%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 17:20
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +2.47%E +0.197%K +0.215%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +2.47%E +0.197%K +0.215%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +2.47%E +0.197%K +0.215%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 17:21
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +2.47%E +0.197%K +0.215%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 17:20
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +2.47%E +0.197%K +0.215%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 17:20
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -7.03%E -6.01%K -41.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -9.83%E -0.894%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 17:41
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.62%E -7.49%K -57.46%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -1.63%E -0.136%K -0.148%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 17:20
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.62%E -7.49%K -57.46%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -1.63%E -0.136%K -0.148%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 17:20
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.62%E -7.49%K -57.46%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -1.63%E -0.136%K -0.148%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 17:51
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 78.17%EV -8.62%E -7.49%K -57.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -18.03%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-14 17:55
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.17%EV -8.62%E -7.49%K -57.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -18.03%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-14 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.17%EV -8.62%E -7.49%K -57.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -18.03%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-14 17:55
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -9.41%E -8.26%K -67.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -18.03%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-14 17:21
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 78.17%EV -9.41%E -8.26%K -67.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -18.03%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.92%EV -14.85%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-14 17:55
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 79.41%EV -11.00%E -9.82%K -91.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV -1.63%E -0.136%K -0.148%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -16.70%E -2.47%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-14 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 79.41%EV -11.00%E -9.82%K -91.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV -1.63%E -0.136%K -0.148%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -16.70%E -2.47%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-14 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.32%EV -10.21%E -9.03%K -78.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89%EV +6.57%E +0.505%K +0.547%G +0.036%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -19.79%E -3.04%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-14 17:39
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 78.91%EV -11.80%E -10.63%K -107.25%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.62%EV -5.73%E -0.498%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -19.79%E -3.04%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-14 17:21
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.54%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.97%0.3%2026-05-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.36%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%0.5%2026-05-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.91%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%1.0%2026-05-14 17:55
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.36%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.86%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78%2.0%2026-05-14 17:31
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.51%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.52%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.97%2.3%2026-05-14 17:55