L’École des cotes

Al-Qadsiah v Al-Hazem

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 18:00 UTC

Score final : Al-Qadsiah 2–0 Al-Hazem

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Qadsiah (Local)

Prévision 79.46%1.26cote équitable
EV -4.65%
Avantage -3.87%
Kelly -23.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.14%79.52%79.68%82.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.151.151.2090.91%87.08%86.96%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Hazem (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.20%12.20cote équitable
EV +9.03%
Avantage +0.679%
Kelly +0.734%
Croissance +0.066%

avec la cote maximale 13.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.89%8.21%7.83%9.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.5011.6112.0013.3010.53%8.61%8.33%7.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 12.34%8.10cote équitable
EV +11.56%
Avantage +1.28%
Kelly +1.44%
Croissance +0.166%

avec la cote maximale 9.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.71%12.27%12.49%13.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.307.009.0415.38%13.70%14.29%11.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.02%EV -6.23%E -5.28%K -34.64%G +0.000%13.30I 7.52%NM 7.28%EV +9.03%E +0.679%K +0.734%G +0.066%9.04I 11.06%NM 10.71%EV +11.56%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.166%3.3%2026-05-14 17:55
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 81.45%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%12.49I 8.01%NM 7.56%EV +2.39%E +0.191%K +0.208%G +0.005%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.99%EV +6.13%E +0.713%K +0.807%G +0.049%5.8%2026-05-14 17:51
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -11.80%E -10.63%K -107.25%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +6.57%E +0.505%K +0.547%G +0.036%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV +4.90%E +0.576%K +0.653%G +0.032%9.5%2026-05-14 17:45
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -4.65%E -3.87%K -23.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -9.83%E -0.894%K -0.983%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -1.27%E -0.159%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -4.65%E -3.87%K -23.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -9.83%E -0.894%K -0.983%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -1.27%E -0.159%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 17:40
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.42%EV -10.21%E -9.03%K -78.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV +6.57%E +0.505%K +0.547%G +0.036%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -1.27%E -0.159%K -0.182%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 17:31
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 81.36%EV -12.59%E -11.45%K -125.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -1.63%E -0.136%K -0.148%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -1.27%E -0.159%K -0.182%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-14 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.70%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -18.03%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.44%E -0.993%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.06%EV -9.41%E -8.26%K -67.24%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.77%EV -3.68%E -0.313%K -0.342%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.44%E -0.993%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 17:44
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 79.76%EV -11.80%E -10.63%K -107.25%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.43%EV -13.93%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -7.44%E -0.993%K -1.15%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-14 17:46
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.14%EV -8.62%E -7.49%K -57.46%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -22.12%E -2.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.40%EV -10.53%E -1.45%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.03%E -6.01%K -41.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -1.63%E -0.136%K -0.148%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 17:55
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +2.47%E +0.197%K +0.215%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 17:20
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +2.47%E +0.197%K +0.215%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +2.47%E +0.197%K +0.215%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +2.47%E +0.197%K +0.215%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 17:21
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +2.47%E +0.197%K +0.215%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 17:20
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -7.82%E -6.74%K -48.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +2.47%E +0.197%K +0.215%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 17:20
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -7.03%E -6.01%K -41.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -9.83%E -0.894%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 17:41
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.62%E -7.49%K -57.46%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -1.63%E -0.136%K -0.148%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 17:20
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.62%E -7.49%K -57.46%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -1.63%E -0.136%K -0.148%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 17:20
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.62%E -7.49%K -57.46%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -1.63%E -0.136%K -0.148%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 17:51
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 78.17%EV -8.62%E -7.49%K -57.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -18.03%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-14 17:55
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.17%EV -8.62%E -7.49%K -57.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -18.03%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-14 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.17%EV -8.62%E -7.49%K -57.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -18.03%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-14 17:55
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -9.41%E -8.26%K -67.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -18.03%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.62%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-14 17:21
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 78.17%EV -9.41%E -8.26%K -67.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -18.03%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.92%EV -14.85%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-14 17:55
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 79.41%EV -11.00%E -9.82%K -91.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV -1.63%E -0.136%K -0.148%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -16.70%E -2.47%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-14 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 79.41%EV -11.00%E -9.82%K -91.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV -1.63%E -0.136%K -0.148%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -16.70%E -2.47%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-14 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.32%EV -10.21%E -9.03%K -78.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89%EV +6.57%E +0.505%K +0.547%G +0.036%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -19.79%E -3.04%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-14 17:39
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 78.91%EV -11.80%E -10.63%K -107.25%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.62%EV -5.73%E -0.498%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -19.79%E -3.04%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-14 17:21
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.54%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.97%0.3%2026-05-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.36%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%0.5%2026-05-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.91%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%1.0%2026-05-14 17:55
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.36%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.86%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78%2.0%2026-05-14 17:31
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.51%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.52%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.97%2.3%2026-05-14 17:55