A Escola das Odds

Al-Okhdood v Al-Nassr

Início: 2026-04-11 18:04 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

30 casas de apostas (7 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Al-Okhdood (Local)

Previsão 4.64%21.56odd justa
EV +15.08%
Vantagem +0.608%
Kelly +0.633%
Crescimento +0.095%

pressupondo odds máximas de 24.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
3.83%4.70%4.57%5.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
15.0019.4320.0024.816.67%5.15%5.00%4.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Nassr (Visitante)

Previsão 86.88%1.15odd justa
EV -3.56%
Vantagem -3.21%
Kelly -32.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
85.45%87.01%87.05%89.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.031.061.061.1197.09%94.16%94.34%90.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 8.48%11.79odd justa
EV +38.22%
Vantagem +2.34%
Kelly +2.50%
Crescimento +0.955%

pressupondo odds máximas de 16.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.95%8.29%8.38%10.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
9.0010.7510.5016.3011.11%9.30%9.52%6.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (30 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet23.00I 4.35%NM 4.22%EV +6.68%E +0.291%K +0.304%G +0.020%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.83%EV -6.17%E -5.71%K -77.10%G +0.000%16.30I 6.13%NM 5.95%EV +38.22%E +2.34%K +2.50%G +0.955%3.1%2026-04-11 17:59
Pinnacle24.81I 4.03%NM 3.83%EV +15.08%E +0.608%K +0.633%G +0.095%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.68%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000%14.66I 6.82%NM 6.48%EV +24.31%E +1.66%K +1.78%G +0.433%5.2%2026-04-11 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.64%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.37%EV -3.56%E -3.21%K -32.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.99%EV +1.76%E +0.146%K +0.160%G +0.003%4.3%2026-04-11 18:00
Coral17.00I 5.88%NM 5.64%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.37%EV -3.56%E -3.21%K -32.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.99%EV +1.76%E +0.146%K +0.160%G +0.003%4.3%2026-04-11 18:01
SportsBet21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV -2.59%E -0.123%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.91%EV -8.77%E -8.36%K -175.48%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +1.76%E +0.146%K +0.160%G +0.003%8.3%2026-04-11 18:00
Paddy Power20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.77%E -8.36%K -175.48%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +1.76%E +0.146%K +0.160%G +0.003%8.6%2026-04-11 18:00
Winamax (DE)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.00%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 18:00
William Hill17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.19%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 18:00
Tipico (DE)22.00I 4.55%NM 4.17%EV +2.05%E +0.093%K +0.097%G +0.002%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.48%EV -8.77%E -8.36%K -175.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 17:59
888sport17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 17:59
888sport (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 17:59
Mr Green (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 17:59
BoyleSports15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -30.42%E -2.03%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.92%EV -9.64%E -9.27%K -241.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 17:59
Unibet (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -2.59%E -0.123%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -10.96%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 18:01
Betclic (FR)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.56%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -8.77%E -8.36%K -175.48%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.96%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 17:57
Sky Bet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 86.19%EV -9.64%E -9.27%K -241.07%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.54%EV -10.96%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 17:59
Unibet20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:00
Unibet (SE)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:00
Unibet (NL)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:00
Grosvenor20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:00
Winamax (FR)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:01
ATG (SE)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:00
Svenska Spel20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:00
Unibet (FR)19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -11.87%E -0.625%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.07%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.55%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.87%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -19.44%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 18:01
LeoVegas20.00I 5.00%NM 4.55%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.87%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -19.44%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.32%EV -2.59%E -0.123%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.60%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -23.68%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 18:00
LiveScore Bet19.00I 5.26%NM 4.68%EV -11.87%E -0.625%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.45%EV -9.64%E -9.27%K -241.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -23.68%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 18:01
Virgin Bet19.00I 5.26%NM 4.68%EV -11.87%E -0.625%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.45%EV -9.64%E -9.27%K -241.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -23.68%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 18:00
PMU (FR)19.00I 5.26%NM 4.64%EV -11.87%E -0.625%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 85.57%EV -10.51%E -10.21%K -350.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.79%EV -23.68%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 18:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.92%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.06%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02%0.7%2026-04-11 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.90%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.00%0.9%2026-04-11 18:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)29.00I 3.45%NM 3.40%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.44%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16%1.4%2026-04-11 18:01
Smarkets28.99I 3.45%NM 3.37%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.52%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.11%2.3%2026-04-11 18:00
Kalshi20.00I 5.00%NM 4.74%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.69%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%5.6%2026-04-11 18:01