La escuela de los momiosAl-Okhdood v Al-Nassr
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Okhdood (Local)
Predicción 4.64%21.56momio equitativo
EV +15.08%
Ventaja +0.608%
Kelly +0.633%
Crecimiento +0.095%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 24.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
3.83%4.70%4.57%5.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
15.0019.4320.0024.816.67%5.15%5.00%4.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Nassr (Visitante)
Predicción 86.88%1.15momio equitativo
EV -3.56%
Ventaja -3.21%
Kelly -32.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.45%87.01%87.05%89.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.031.061.061.1197.09%94.16%94.34%90.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 8.48%11.79momio equitativo
EV +38.22%
Ventaja +2.34%
Kelly +2.50%
Crecimiento +0.955%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 16.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.95%8.29%8.38%10.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
9.0010.7510.5016.3011.11%9.30%9.52%6.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.22%EV +6.68%E +0.291%K +0.304%G +0.020% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.83%EV -6.17%E -5.71%K -77.10%G +0.000% | 16.30I 6.13%NM 5.95%EV +38.22%E +2.34%K +2.50%G +0.955% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 24.81I 4.03%NM 3.83%EV +15.08%E +0.608%K +0.633%G +0.095% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.68%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 14.66I 6.82%NM 6.48%EV +24.31%E +1.66%K +1.78%G +0.433% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.64%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.37%EV -3.56%E -3.21%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.99%EV +1.76%E +0.146%K +0.160%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Coral | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.64%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.37%EV -3.56%E -3.21%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.99%EV +1.76%E +0.146%K +0.160%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| SportsBet | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV -2.59%E -0.123%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.91%EV -8.77%E -8.36%K -175.48%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +1.76%E +0.146%K +0.160%G +0.003% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.77%E -8.36%K -175.48%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +1.76%E +0.146%K +0.160%G +0.003% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.00%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| William Hill | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.19%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.17%EV +2.05%E +0.093%K +0.097%G +0.002% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.48%EV -8.77%E -8.36%K -175.48%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| 888sport | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -30.42%E -2.03%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.92%EV -9.64%E -9.27%K -241.07%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -2.59%E -0.123%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -10.96%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.56%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -8.77%E -8.36%K -175.48%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.96%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 17:57 |
| Sky Bet | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.19%EV -9.64%E -9.27%K -241.07%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.54%EV -10.96%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| Unibet | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -11.87%E -0.625%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.07%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.55%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.87%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -19.44%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| LeoVegas | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.55%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.87%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -19.44%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.32%EV -2.59%E -0.123%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.60%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -23.68%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.68%EV -11.87%E -0.625%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.45%EV -9.64%E -9.27%K -241.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -23.68%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.68%EV -11.87%E -0.625%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.45%EV -9.64%E -9.27%K -241.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -23.68%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.64%EV -11.87%E -0.625%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 85.57%EV -10.51%E -10.21%K -350.39%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.79%EV -23.68%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.92% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.06% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.90% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.00% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.40% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.44% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| Smarkets | 28.99I 3.45%NM 3.37% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.52% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.11% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.74% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.69% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |