Langue:Français
Al-Okhdood v Al-Nassr
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Okhdood (Local)
Prévision 4.64%21.56cote équitable
EV +15.08%
Avantage +0.608%
Kelly +0.633%
Croissance +0.095%
avec la cote maximale 24.81
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.83%4.70%4.57%5.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
15.0019.4320.0024.816.67%5.15%5.00%4.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Al-Nassr (Visiteur)
Prévision 86.88%1.15cote équitable
EV -3.56%
Avantage -3.21%
Kelly -32.37%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.45%87.01%87.05%89.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.031.061.061.1197.09%94.16%94.34%90.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 8.48%11.79cote équitable
EV +38.22%
Avantage +2.34%
Kelly +2.50%
Croissance +0.955%
avec la cote maximale 16.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.95%8.29%8.38%10.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0010.7510.5016.3011.11%9.30%9.52%6.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Al-Okhdood (Local) : 4.64% ; Al-Nassr (Visiteur) : 86.88% ; Match nul : 8.48%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.79. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 16.30, soit une espérance positive de +38.22%.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.22%EV +6.68%E +0.291%K +0.304%G +0.020% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.83%EV -6.17%E -5.71%K -77.10%G +0.000% | 16.30I 6.13%NM 5.95%EV +38.22%E +2.34%K +2.50%G +0.955% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 24.81I 4.03%NM 3.83%EV +15.08%E +0.608%K +0.633%G +0.095% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.68%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 14.66I 6.82%NM 6.48%EV +24.31%E +1.66%K +1.78%G +0.433% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.64%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.37%EV -3.56%E -3.21%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.99%EV +1.76%E +0.146%K +0.160%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.64%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.37%EV -3.56%E -3.21%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.99%EV +1.76%E +0.146%K +0.160%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV -2.59%E -0.123%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.91%EV -8.77%E -8.36%K -175.48%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +1.76%E +0.146%K +0.160%G +0.003% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.77%E -8.36%K -175.48%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +1.76%E +0.146%K +0.160%G +0.003% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.00%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.19%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.17%EV +2.05%E +0.093%K +0.097%G +0.002% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.48%EV -8.77%E -8.36%K -175.48%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -30.42%E -2.03%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.92%EV -9.64%E -9.27%K -241.07%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -6.72%E -0.611%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -2.59%E -0.123%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -10.96%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.56%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -8.77%E -8.36%K -175.48%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.96%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 17:57 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27%EV -21.15%E -1.24%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.19%EV -9.64%E -9.27%K -241.07%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.54%EV -10.96%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.04%E -6.58%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -11.87%E -0.625%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.07%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -15.20%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.55%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.87%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -19.44%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.55%EV -7.23%E -0.362%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.87%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -19.44%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.32%EV -2.59%E -0.123%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.60%EV -7.91%E -7.46%K -131.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -23.68%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.68%EV -11.87%E -0.625%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.45%EV -9.64%E -9.27%K -241.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -23.68%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.68%EV -11.87%E -0.625%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.45%EV -9.64%E -9.27%K -241.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -23.68%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.64%EV -11.87%E -0.625%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 85.57%EV -10.51%E -10.21%K -350.39%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.79%EV -23.68%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.92% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.06% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.90% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.00% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.40% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.44% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 28.99I 3.45%NM 3.37% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.52% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.11% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 18:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.74% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.69% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 18:01 |