Language:English
Al-Okhdood v Al-Khaleej
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Okhdood (Local)
Prediction 19.38%5.16fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -0.617%
Kelly -0.771%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.77%19.52%19.25%21.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.594.605.0025.00%21.81%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Khaleej (Visit)
Prediction 58.73%1.70fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.37%58.65%58.87%59.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.571.6765.79%63.36%63.69%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.88%4.57fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.340%
Kelly -0.438%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.03%21.84%21.88%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.003.904.5028.57%25.00%25.64%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Okhdood (Local): 19.38%; Al-Khaleej (Visit): 58.73%; Draw: 21.88%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.50, with an expected value of -1.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -3.08%E -0.617%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -6.02%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -5.25%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.08%EV -3.86%E -0.778%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.89%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -1.53%E -0.340%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -5.02%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.99%EV -5.99%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.07%EV -1.91%E -1.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.94%EV -3.28%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.96%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.25%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -6.96%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.93%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.52%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -7.93%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -7.93%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.02%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.47%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.47%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.63%EV -10.72%E -7.05%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.00%EV -11.38%E -2.81%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -12.78%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -16.85%E -4.43%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -12.78%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -16.85%E -4.43%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -12.78%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -23.41%E -6.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.15%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -8.37%E -5.37%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -17.94%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -16.65%E -3.87%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -13.57%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -18.59%E -4.43%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -12.47%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-16 16:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.59%EV -22.47%E -5.62%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.37%EV -8.37%E -5.37%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -17.94%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.55% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.60% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.47% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |