La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Okhdood v Al-Khaleej
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Okhdood (Local)
Predicción 19.38%5.16momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -0.617%
Kelly -0.771%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.77%19.52%19.25%21.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.594.605.0025.00%21.81%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Khaleej (Visitante)
Predicción 58.73%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.37%58.65%58.87%59.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.581.571.6765.79%63.36%63.69%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.88%4.57momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.340%
Kelly -0.438%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.03%21.84%21.88%24.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.003.904.5028.57%25.00%25.64%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -3.08%E -0.617%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -6.02%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -5.25%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Pinnacle | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.08%EV -3.86%E -0.778%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.89%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -1.53%E -0.340%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -5.02%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| 1xBet | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.99%EV -5.99%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.07%EV -1.91%E -1.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.94%EV -3.28%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.96%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.25%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -6.96%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.93%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.52%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| SportsBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -7.93%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -7.93%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Grosvenor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| betfred_uk | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.02%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.47%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| LeoVegas | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Sky Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.47%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.63%EV -10.72%E -7.05%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.00%EV -11.38%E -2.81%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -12.78%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -16.85%E -4.43%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -12.78%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -16.85%E -4.43%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -12.78%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -23.41%E -6.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| William Hill | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.15%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -8.37%E -5.37%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -17.94%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| 888sport | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -16.65%E -3.87%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -13.57%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -18.59%E -4.43%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -12.47%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-16 16:03 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.59%EV -22.47%E -5.62%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.37%EV -8.37%E -5.37%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -17.94%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.55% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.60% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Smarkets | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Kalshi | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.47% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |