L’École des cotes

Al-Okhdood v Al-Khaleej

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 16:07 UTC

Score final : Al-Okhdood 3–1 Al-Khaleej

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Okhdood (Local)

Prévision 19.38%5.16cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -0.617%
Kelly -0.771%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.77%19.52%19.25%21.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.594.605.0025.00%21.81%21.74%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Khaleej (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.73%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -2.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.37%58.65%58.87%59.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.581.571.6765.79%63.36%63.69%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.88%4.57cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.340%
Kelly -0.438%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.03%21.84%21.88%24.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.003.904.5028.57%25.00%25.64%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -3.08%E -0.617%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -6.02%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -5.25%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:05
Pinnacle4.96I 20.16%NM 19.08%EV -3.86%E -0.778%K -0.975%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.89%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -1.53%E -0.340%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 16:04
Tipico (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -5.02%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 16:05
1xBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.99%EV -5.99%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.07%EV -1.91%E -1.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.94%EV -3.28%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.96%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.25%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 16:05
Betclic (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -6.96%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 16:04
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.93%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.52%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:04
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -7.93%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 16:05
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -7.93%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:05
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 16:05
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 16:05
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 16:05
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 16:05
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 16:05
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -4.26%E -2.61%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 16:05
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.02%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.47%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 16:05
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -5.44%E -3.38%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 16:05
Sky Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.47%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 16:05
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.63%EV -10.72%E -7.05%K -20.62%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.00%EV -11.38%E -2.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 16:04
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -12.78%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -16.85%E -4.43%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 16:05
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -12.78%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -16.85%E -4.43%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -12.78%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -23.41%E -6.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-16 16:05
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.15%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 16:05
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -8.37%E -5.37%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -17.94%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 16:05
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 16:04
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 16:04
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -14.66%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 16:04
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -16.65%E -3.87%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -4.85%E -2.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -13.57%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 16:05
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -18.59%E -4.43%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -10.14%E -6.62%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -12.47%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 16:03
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.59%EV -22.47%E -5.62%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 55.37%EV -8.37%E -5.37%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -17.94%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-16 16:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-05-16 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-05-16 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.55%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.60%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%1.7%2026-05-16 16:05
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-05-16 16:05
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 19.47%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%12.9%2026-05-16 16:05