L’École des cotesAl-Nassr v Damac
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Nassr (Local)
Prévision 81.83%1.22cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -9.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.41%81.75%82.27%84.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.071.121.111.2093.46%89.54%90.09%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Damac (Visiteur)
Prévision 6.53%15.31cote équitable
EV +11.03%
Avantage +0.649%
Kelly +0.689%
Croissance +0.076%
avec la cote maximale 17.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.34%6.54%6.42%9.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.0014.7515.0017.0010.00%6.78%6.67%5.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 11.64%8.59cote équitable
EV +12.70%
Avantage +1.31%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.186%
avec la cote maximale 9.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.00%11.70%11.31%13.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.767.509.6815.38%12.89%13.33%10.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.20%EV -5.90%E -5.13%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 16.70I 5.99%NM 5.80%EV +9.07%E +0.543%K +0.578%G +0.052% | 9.68I 10.33%NM 10.00%EV +12.70%E +1.31%K +1.46%G +0.186% | 3.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.10%EV -6.72%E -5.89%K -47.99%G +0.000% | 14.71I 6.80%NM 6.44%EV -3.93%E -0.267%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 9.06I 11.04%NM 10.46%EV +5.48%E +0.605%K +0.681%G +0.037% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.86%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.79%E +0.532%K +0.598%G +0.029% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.46%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV +4.50%E +0.281%K +0.300%G +0.013% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -1.04%E -0.122%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.40%EV -11.63%E -10.77%K -145.35%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -1.04%E -0.122%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.50%EV -10.81%E -9.92%K -120.11%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.58%EV -1.04%E -0.122%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.69%EV -9.17%E -8.26%K -83.39%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -4.53%E -0.552%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.83%EV -10.81%E -9.92%K -120.11%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.02%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.15%EV -5.69%E -0.703%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -1.81%E -1.51%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -28.16%E -2.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -6.86%E -0.857%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.50%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 14.75I 6.78%NM 6.15%EV -3.67%E -0.249%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -6.86%E -0.857%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-21 17:47 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -3.45%E -2.92%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -34.69%E -3.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -57.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -6.72%E -5.89%K -47.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -9.17%E -8.26%K -83.39%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -9.17%E -8.26%K -83.39%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -9.17%E -8.26%K -83.39%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.55%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| 888sport | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.28%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.66%EV +4.50%E +0.281%K +0.300%G +0.013% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.54%EV -11.63%E -10.77%K -145.35%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.57%EV +4.50%E +0.281%K +0.300%G +0.013% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.90%E -5.13%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -18.50%E -2.64%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -6.72%E -5.89%K -47.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -18.50%E -2.64%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 81.99%EV -12.45%E -11.63%K -177.80%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.48%EV +4.50%E +0.281%K +0.300%G +0.013% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -18.50%E -2.64%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.48%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.90%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.62%EV -24.32%E -3.74%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.27% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.34% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.39% | 0.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.56% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.32% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.90% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.05% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05% | 1.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.43% | 19.01I 5.26%NM 5.15% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.42% | 2.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.83% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.71% | 3.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |