مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Al-Nassr v Damac
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Al-Nassr (المضيف)
التنبؤ 81.83%1.22السعر العادل
EV -1.81%
الأفضلية -1.51%
Kelly -9.04%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.20
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
78.41%81.75%82.27%84.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.071.121.111.2093.46%89.54%90.09%83.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Damac (الضيف)
التنبؤ 6.53%15.31السعر العادل
EV +11.03%
الأفضلية +0.649%
Kelly +0.689%
النمو +0.076%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 17.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
5.34%6.54%6.42%9.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
10.0014.7515.0017.0010.00%6.78%6.67%5.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 11.64%8.59السعر العادل
EV +12.70%
الأفضلية +1.31%
Kelly +1.46%
النمو +0.186%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.68
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.00%11.70%11.31%13.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.507.767.509.6815.38%12.89%13.33%10.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (31 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.20%EV -5.90%E -5.13%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 16.70I 5.99%NM 5.80%EV +9.07%E +0.543%K +0.578%G +0.052% | 9.68I 10.33%NM 10.00%EV +12.70%E +1.31%K +1.46%G +0.186% | 3.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.10%EV -6.72%E -5.89%K -47.99%G +0.000% | 14.71I 6.80%NM 6.44%EV -3.93%E -0.267%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 9.06I 11.04%NM 10.46%EV +5.48%E +0.605%K +0.681%G +0.037% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.86%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.79%E +0.532%K +0.598%G +0.029% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.46%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV +4.50%E +0.281%K +0.300%G +0.013% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -1.04%E -0.122%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.40%EV -11.63%E -10.77%K -145.35%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -1.04%E -0.122%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.50%EV -10.81%E -9.92%K -120.11%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.58%EV -1.04%E -0.122%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.69%EV -9.17%E -8.26%K -83.39%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -4.53%E -0.552%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.83%EV -10.81%E -9.92%K -120.11%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.02%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.15%EV -5.69%E -0.703%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -1.81%E -1.51%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -28.16%E -2.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -6.86%E -0.857%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.50%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 14.75I 6.78%NM 6.15%EV -3.67%E -0.249%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -6.86%E -0.857%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-21 17:47 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -3.45%E -2.92%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -34.69%E -3.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -57.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -6.72%E -5.89%K -47.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -9.17%E -8.26%K -83.39%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -9.17%E -8.26%K -83.39%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -9.17%E -8.26%K -83.39%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.55%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| 888sport | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.28%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.66%EV +4.50%E +0.281%K +0.300%G +0.013% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.54%EV -11.63%E -10.77%K -145.35%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.57%EV +4.50%E +0.281%K +0.300%G +0.013% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.90%E -5.13%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -18.50%E -2.64%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -6.72%E -5.89%K -47.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -18.50%E -2.64%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 81.99%EV -12.45%E -11.63%K -177.80%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.48%EV +4.50%E +0.281%K +0.300%G +0.013% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -18.50%E -2.64%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.48%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.90%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.62%EV -24.32%E -3.74%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.27% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.34% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.39% | 0.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.56% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.32% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.90% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.05% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05% | 1.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.43% | 19.01I 5.26%NM 5.15% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.42% | 2.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.83% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.71% | 3.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |