La escuela de los momiosAl-Nassr v Damac
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Nassr (Local)
Predicción 81.83%1.22momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -9.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.41%81.75%82.27%84.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.121.111.2093.46%89.54%90.09%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Damac (Visitante)
Predicción 6.53%15.31momio equitativo
EV +11.03%
Ventaja +0.649%
Kelly +0.689%
Crecimiento +0.076%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 17.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.34%6.54%6.42%9.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
10.0014.7515.0017.0010.00%6.78%6.67%5.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 11.64%8.59momio equitativo
EV +12.70%
Ventaja +1.31%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.186%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.00%11.70%11.31%13.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.767.509.6815.38%12.89%13.33%10.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.20%EV -5.90%E -5.13%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 16.70I 5.99%NM 5.80%EV +9.07%E +0.543%K +0.578%G +0.052% | 9.68I 10.33%NM 10.00%EV +12.70%E +1.31%K +1.46%G +0.186% | 3.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.10%EV -6.72%E -5.89%K -47.99%G +0.000% | 14.71I 6.80%NM 6.44%EV -3.93%E -0.267%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 9.06I 11.04%NM 10.46%EV +5.48%E +0.605%K +0.681%G +0.037% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.86%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.79%E +0.532%K +0.598%G +0.029% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.46%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV +4.50%E +0.281%K +0.300%G +0.013% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -1.04%E -0.122%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.40%EV -11.63%E -10.77%K -145.35%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -1.04%E -0.122%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.50%EV -10.81%E -9.92%K -120.11%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.58%EV -1.04%E -0.122%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.69%EV -9.17%E -8.26%K -83.39%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -4.53%E -0.552%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.83%EV -10.81%E -9.92%K -120.11%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.02%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.15%EV -5.69%E -0.703%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -1.81%E -1.51%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -28.16%E -2.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -6.86%E -0.857%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.50%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 14.75I 6.78%NM 6.15%EV -3.67%E -0.249%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -6.86%E -0.857%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-21 17:47 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -3.45%E -2.92%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -34.69%E -3.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -57.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -6.72%E -5.89%K -47.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -9.17%E -8.26%K -83.39%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -9.17%E -8.26%K -83.39%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -9.17%E -8.26%K -83.39%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.55%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +11.03%E +0.649%K +0.689%G +0.076% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| 888sport | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.35%E -7.46%K -69.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.28%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.66%EV +4.50%E +0.281%K +0.300%G +0.013% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.54%EV -11.63%E -10.77%K -145.35%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.57%EV +4.50%E +0.281%K +0.300%G +0.013% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -12.68%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.90%E -5.13%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -18.50%E -2.64%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -6.72%E -5.89%K -47.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -15.10%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -18.50%E -2.64%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 81.99%EV -12.45%E -11.63%K -177.80%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.48%EV +4.50%E +0.281%K +0.300%G +0.013% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -18.50%E -2.64%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.48%EV -9.99%E -9.08%K -99.91%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.90%EV -2.03%E -0.136%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.62%EV -24.32%E -3.74%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.27% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.34% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.39% | 0.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.56% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.32% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.90% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.05% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05% | 1.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.43% | 19.01I 5.26%NM 5.15% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.42% | 2.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.83% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.71% | 3.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |