赔率学院

Al-Nassr v Al-Najma

开赛时间： 2026-04-03 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Al-Nassr (主队)

预测 86.48%1.16公平赔率
EV -4.87%
优势 -4.43%
Kelly -48.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.10

博彩公司预测分布
85.11%86.64%86.58%89.03%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.011.051.051.1099.01%95.14%95.24%90.91%MIN均值中位数MAX

Al-Najma (客队)

预测 4.82%20.73公平赔率
EV +30.23%
优势 +1.12%
Kelly +1.16%
增长率 +0.351%

假设最高赔率为 27.00

博彩公司预测分布
3.55%4.89%4.55%5.96%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
15.0021.9221.9127.006.67%4.56%4.56%3.70%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 8.69%11.50公平赔率
EV +25.35%
优势 +1.76%
Kelly +1.89%
增长率 +0.479%

假设最高赔率为 14.42

博彩公司预测分布
6.61%8.47%8.87%9.48%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
9.5011.3211.0014.4210.53%8.83%9.09%6.93%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 89.03%EV -7.46%E -6.97%K -106.61%G +0.000%21.82I 4.58%NM 4.37%EV +5.25%E +0.240%K +0.252%G +0.013%14.42I 6.93%NM 6.61%EV +25.35%E +1.76%K +1.89%G +0.479%5.0%2026-04-03 17:50
1xBet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.90%EV -5.73%E -5.26%K -63.70%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.59%EV +30.23%E +1.12%K +1.16%G +0.351%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.51%EV +12.14%E +0.941%K +1.02%G +0.124%3.2%2026-04-03 17:50
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 88.66%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017%7.4%2026-04-03 17:55
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017%8.3%2026-04-03 17:40
Grosvenor1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017%8.3%2026-04-03 17:40
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017%8.3%2026-04-03 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017%8.3%2026-04-03 17:40
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017%8.3%2026-04-03 17:40
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017%8.3%2026-04-03 17:40
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017%8.3%2026-04-03 17:55
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 88.73%EV -10.92%E -10.60%K -364.07%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.66%EV +20.58%E +0.823%K +0.858%G +0.177%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017%9.4%2026-04-03 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 88.73%EV -10.92%E -10.60%K -364.07%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.66%EV +20.58%E +0.823%K +0.858%G +0.177%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017%9.4%2026-04-03 17:40
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.87%E -4.43%K -48.68%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.87%E -4.43%K -48.68%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:45
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 86.69%EV -7.46%E -6.97%K -106.61%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 17:54
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 86.79%EV -8.33%E -7.86%K -138.79%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.79%EV -8.33%E -7.86%K -138.79%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 17:55
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.79%EV -8.33%E -7.86%K -138.79%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 17:55
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 87.48%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.17%EV +6.11%E +0.278%K +0.291%G +0.018%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:50
Winamax (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.01%EV -8.33%E -7.86%K -138.79%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -22.83%E -1.43%K -1.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 88.05%EV -12.65%E -12.53%K -1265.16%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.87%EV +10.94%E +0.476%K +0.497%G +0.054%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-03 17:40
Virgin Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 88.05%EV -12.65%E -12.53%K -1265.16%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.87%EV +10.94%E +0.476%K +0.497%G +0.054%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-03 17:40
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 86.58%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.55%EV -3.53%E -0.177%K -0.186%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.87%EV -10.90%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.36%EV -7.46%E -6.97%K -106.61%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +1.29%E +0.061%K +0.065%G +0.001%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.07%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 17:34
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -27.65%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -13.07%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 17:25
Winamax (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -27.65%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -13.07%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 17:34
Sky Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 86.41%EV -10.92%E -10.60%K -364.07%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.68%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -13.07%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-03 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 85.78%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.74%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -17.42%E -1.83%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-03 17:34
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 91.02%42.00I 2.38%NM 2.36%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61%0.8%2026-04-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 91.00%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.16%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84%0.8%2026-04-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 91.00%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.16%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84%0.8%2026-04-03 17:55
Smarkets1.08I 92.59%NM 90.99%44.05I 2.27%NM 2.23%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.78%1.8%2026-04-03 17:55
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 89.38%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.76%3.6%2026-04-03 17:55