La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Nassr v Al-Najma
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Nassr (Local)
Predicción 86.48%1.16momio equitativo
EV -4.87%
Ventaja -4.43%
Kelly -48.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.11%86.64%86.58%89.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.051.051.1099.01%95.14%95.24%90.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Najma (Visitante)
Predicción 4.82%20.73momio equitativo
EV +30.23%
Ventaja +1.12%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.351%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 27.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
3.55%4.89%4.55%5.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
15.0021.9221.9127.006.67%4.56%4.56%3.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 8.69%11.50momio equitativo
EV +25.35%
Ventaja +1.76%
Kelly +1.89%
Crecimiento +0.479%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 14.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.61%8.47%8.87%9.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
9.5011.3211.0014.4210.53%8.83%9.09%6.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.03%EV -7.46%E -6.97%K -106.61%G +0.000% | 21.82I 4.58%NM 4.37%EV +5.25%E +0.240%K +0.252%G +0.013% | 14.42I 6.93%NM 6.61%EV +25.35%E +1.76%K +1.89%G +0.479% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.90%EV -5.73%E -5.26%K -63.70%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.59%EV +30.23%E +1.12%K +1.16%G +0.351% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.51%EV +12.14%E +0.941%K +1.02%G +0.124% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.66%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Unibet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.73%EV -10.92%E -10.60%K -364.07%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.66%EV +20.58%E +0.823%K +0.858%G +0.177% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.73%EV -10.92%E -10.60%K -364.07%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.66%EV +20.58%E +0.823%K +0.858%G +0.177% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Coral | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.87%E -4.43%K -48.68%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.87%E -4.43%K -48.68%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| William Hill | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.69%EV -7.46%E -6.97%K -106.61%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 17:54 |
| 888sport | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.79%EV -8.33%E -7.86%K -138.79%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.79%EV -8.33%E -7.86%K -138.79%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.79%EV -8.33%E -7.86%K -138.79%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.48%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.17%EV +6.11%E +0.278%K +0.291%G +0.018% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.01%EV -8.33%E -7.86%K -138.79%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -22.83%E -1.43%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.05%EV -12.65%E -12.53%K -1265.16%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.87%EV +10.94%E +0.476%K +0.497%G +0.054% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.05%EV -12.65%E -12.53%K -1265.16%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.87%EV +10.94%E +0.476%K +0.497%G +0.054% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.58%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.55%EV -3.53%E -0.177%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.87%EV -10.90%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.36%EV -7.46%E -6.97%K -106.61%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +1.29%E +0.061%K +0.065%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.07%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -27.65%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -13.07%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-03 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -27.65%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -13.07%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.41%EV -10.92%E -10.60%K -364.07%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.68%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -13.07%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.78%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.74%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -17.42%E -1.83%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.02% | 42.00I 2.38%NM 2.36% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.00% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.16% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.00% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.16% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.99% | 44.05I 2.27%NM 2.23% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.78% | 1.8% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.38% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.76% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |