L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Nassr v Al-Najma
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Nassr (Local)
Prévision 86.48%1.16cote équitable
EV -4.87%
Avantage -4.43%
Kelly -48.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.11%86.64%86.58%89.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.051.051.1099.01%95.14%95.24%90.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Najma (Visiteur)
Prévision 4.82%20.73cote équitable
EV +30.23%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.351%
avec la cote maximale 27.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.55%4.89%4.55%5.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
15.0021.9221.9127.006.67%4.56%4.56%3.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 8.69%11.50cote équitable
EV +25.35%
Avantage +1.76%
Kelly +1.89%
Croissance +0.479%
avec la cote maximale 14.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.61%8.47%8.87%9.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.5011.3211.0014.4210.53%8.83%9.09%6.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.03%EV -7.46%E -6.97%K -106.61%G +0.000% | 21.82I 4.58%NM 4.37%EV +5.25%E +0.240%K +0.252%G +0.013% | 14.42I 6.93%NM 6.61%EV +25.35%E +1.76%K +1.89%G +0.479% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.90%EV -5.73%E -5.26%K -63.70%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.59%EV +30.23%E +1.12%K +1.16%G +0.351% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.51%EV +12.14%E +0.941%K +1.02%G +0.124% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.66%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Unibet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -10.06%E -9.67%K -251.43%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +25.41%E +0.977%K +1.02%G +0.258% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.73%EV -10.92%E -10.60%K -364.07%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.66%EV +20.58%E +0.823%K +0.858%G +0.177% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.73%EV -10.92%E -10.60%K -364.07%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.66%EV +20.58%E +0.823%K +0.858%G +0.177% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +4.32%E +0.360%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Coral | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.87%E -4.43%K -48.68%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -4.87%E -4.43%K -48.68%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| William Hill | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.69%EV -7.46%E -6.97%K -106.61%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 17:54 |
| 888sport | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.79%EV -8.33%E -7.86%K -138.79%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.79%EV -8.33%E -7.86%K -138.79%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.79%EV -8.33%E -7.86%K -138.79%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.48%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.17%EV +6.11%E +0.278%K +0.291%G +0.018% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.01%EV -8.33%E -7.86%K -138.79%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -22.83%E -1.43%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.05%EV -12.65%E -12.53%K -1265.16%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.87%EV +10.94%E +0.476%K +0.497%G +0.054% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.05%EV -12.65%E -12.53%K -1265.16%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.87%EV +10.94%E +0.476%K +0.497%G +0.054% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -4.38%E -0.398%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.58%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.55%EV -3.53%E -0.177%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.87%EV -10.90%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.36%EV -7.46%E -6.97%K -106.61%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +1.29%E +0.061%K +0.065%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.07%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -27.65%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -13.07%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-03 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -27.65%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -13.07%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.41%EV -10.92%E -10.60%K -364.07%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.68%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -13.07%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.78%EV -9.19%E -8.75%K -183.85%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.74%EV -8.36%E -0.440%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -17.42%E -1.83%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.02% | 42.00I 2.38%NM 2.36% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.00% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.16% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.00% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.16% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.99% | 44.05I 2.27%NM 2.23% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.78% | 1.8% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.38% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.76% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |