赔率学院

Al-Nassr v Al-Hilal

开赛时间： 2026-05-12 18:04 UTC

最终结果： Al-Nassr 1–1 Al-Hilal

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Al-Nassr (主队)

预测 42.53%2.35公平赔率
EV -0.485%
优势 -0.207%
Kelly -0.362%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.34

博彩公司预测分布
41.33%42.57%42.61%43.90%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.002.132.142.3450.00%46.99%46.73%42.74%MIN均值中位数MAX

Al-Hilal (客队)

预测 31.93%3.13公平赔率
EV -3.57%
优势 -1.18%
Kelly -1.77%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.02

博彩公司预测分布
31.31%32.01%31.82%33.21%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.602.842.853.0238.46%35.26%35.09%33.11%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 25.54%3.92公平赔率
EV -1.66%
优势 -0.432%
Kelly -0.584%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
23.38%25.42%25.57%26.93%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.203.573.603.8531.25%28.00%27.78%25.97%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 41.44%EV -0.485%E -0.207%K -0.362%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.76%EV -5.49%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.79%EV -3.96%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 17:59
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.52%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.53%EV -3.57%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -6.26%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:01
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:00
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 18:01
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 17:59
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -8.36%E -2.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 18:01
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.71%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-12 17:59
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.71%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-12 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.71%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-12 17:59
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:01
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:01
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:01
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:01
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:01
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.84%E -4.64%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.66%EV -8.04%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 18:00
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.84%E -4.64%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.66%EV -8.04%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 18:01
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -9.84%E -4.64%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.09%EV -7.28%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 17:58
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.04%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-12 18:00
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-12 18:01
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.71%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-12 18:00
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.06%EV -11.97%E -5.78%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-12 18:01
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.06%EV -11.97%E -5.78%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-12 18:01
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.90%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.19%E -4.43%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -1.66%E -0.432%K -0.584%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 18:01
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.90%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.19%E -4.43%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -1.66%E -0.432%K -0.584%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 18:01
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-12 18:00
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.79%E -5.11%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-12 17:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -16.98%E -6.53%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-12 18:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.92%EV -14.94%E -7.47%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.88%EV -16.02%E -6.09%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -18.27%E -5.71%K -8.30%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-12 17:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%0.3%2026-05-12 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-05-12 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-05-12 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.10%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20%1.8%2026-05-12 18:00
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%1.9%2026-05-12 18:00