La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Nassr v Al-Hilal
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Nassr (Local)
Predicción 42.53%2.35momio equitativo
EV -0.485%
Ventaja -0.207%
Kelly -0.362%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%42.57%42.61%43.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.142.3450.00%46.99%46.73%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Hilal (Visitante)
Predicción 31.93%3.13momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -1.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.31%32.01%31.82%33.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.842.853.0238.46%35.26%35.09%33.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.54%3.92momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.432%
Kelly -0.584%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.38%25.42%25.57%26.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.573.603.8531.25%28.00%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.44%EV -0.485%E -0.207%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.76%EV -5.49%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.79%EV -3.96%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-12 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.52%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.53%EV -3.57%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -6.26%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-12 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -8.36%E -2.91%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.71%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-12 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.71%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-12 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.71%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-12 17:59 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.84%E -4.64%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.66%EV -8.04%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.84%E -4.64%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.66%EV -8.04%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -9.84%E -4.64%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.09%EV -7.28%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-12 17:58 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.04%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.71%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.06%EV -11.97%E -5.78%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.06%EV -11.97%E -5.78%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.90%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.19%E -4.43%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -1.66%E -0.432%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.90%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.19%E -4.43%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -1.66%E -0.432%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.79%E -5.11%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-12 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -16.98%E -6.53%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.92%EV -14.94%E -7.47%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.88%EV -16.02%E -6.09%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -18.27%E -5.71%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-05-12 17:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89% | 0.3% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.10% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20% | 1.8% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54% | 1.9% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |