L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Nassr v Al-Hilal
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Nassr (Local)
Prévision 42.53%2.35cote équitable
EV -0.485%
Avantage -0.207%
Kelly -0.362%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%42.57%42.61%43.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.142.3450.00%46.99%46.73%42.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Hilal (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.93%3.13cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -1.77%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.31%32.01%31.82%33.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.842.853.0238.46%35.26%35.09%33.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.54%3.92cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.432%
Kelly -0.584%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.38%25.42%25.57%26.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.573.603.8531.25%28.00%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.44%EV -0.485%E -0.207%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.76%EV -5.49%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.79%EV -3.96%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-12 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.52%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.53%EV -3.57%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -6.26%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-12 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -8.36%E -2.91%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.71%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-12 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.71%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-12 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.57%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.71%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-12 17:59 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -8.99%E -4.20%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.84%E -4.64%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.66%EV -8.04%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.84%E -4.64%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.66%EV -8.04%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -9.84%E -4.64%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.09%EV -7.28%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-12 17:58 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.04%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.71%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.06%EV -11.97%E -5.78%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.06%EV -11.97%E -5.78%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.90%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.19%E -4.43%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -1.66%E -0.432%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.90%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.19%E -4.43%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -1.66%E -0.432%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.79%E -5.11%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-12 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -16.98%E -6.53%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-12 18:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.92%EV -14.94%E -7.47%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.88%EV -16.02%E -6.09%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -18.27%E -5.71%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-05-12 17:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89% | 0.3% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.10% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20% | 1.8% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54% | 1.9% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |