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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Al-Nassr v Al-Fateh

開賽時間： 2026-08-15 18:00 UTC

最終賽果： Al-Nassr 3–0 Al-Fateh

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

30 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Al-Nassr (主隊)

預測 78.86%1.27公平賠率
EV -3.00%
優勢 -2.44%
Kelly -13.05%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.23

博彩公司預測分布
76.95%78.94%78.59%81.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.061.141.141.2394.34%87.34%87.72%81.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Al-Fateh (客隊)

預測 8.13%12.29公平賠率
EV +9.32%
優勢 +0.694%
Kelly +0.749%
成長率 +0.070%

假設最高賠率為 13.44

博彩公司預測分布
6.82%8.15%8.28%9.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
9.5011.6312.0013.4410.53%8.60%8.33%7.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 13.01%7.69公平賠率
EV +6.78%
優勢 +0.826%
Kelly +0.940%
成長率 +0.064%

假設最高賠率為 8.21

博彩公司預測分布
11.51%12.92%13.14%13.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
6.507.247.478.2115.38%13.81%13.38%12.18%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Al-Nassr (主隊)：78.86%；Al-Fateh (客隊)：8.13%；和局：13.01%。 對於「Al-Fateh (客隊)」，該估計相當於12.29的公平十進位賠率。 當時有12家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為13.44，對應+9.32%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (30 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.46%EV -8.52%E -7.35%K -53.27%G +0.000%13.44I 7.44%NM 7.03%EV +9.32%E +0.694%K +0.749%G +0.070%8.21I 12.18%NM 11.51%EV +6.78%E +0.826%K +0.940%G +0.064%5.8%2026-08-15 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -10.10%E -8.86%K -72.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 17:59
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.12%EV -10.89%E -9.64%K -83.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.83%EV +0.797%E +0.103%K +0.118%G +0.001%9.1%2026-08-15 17:44
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.68%E -10.43%K -97.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:59
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.68%E -10.43%K -97.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.68%E -10.43%K -97.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.68%E -10.43%K -97.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.68%E -10.43%K -97.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -13.25%E -12.05%K -132.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 17:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -14.04%E -12.88%K -156.03%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 81.56%EV -16.41%E -15.48%K -273.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 6.92%EV +1.68%E +0.134%K +0.146%G +0.002%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.53%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-15 17:59
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.05%EV -3.00%E -2.44%K -13.05%G +0.000%12.30I 8.13%NM 7.90%EV +0.049%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 13.05%EV -3.11%E -0.417%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 17:59
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.73%E -6.61%K -45.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -2.39%E -0.199%K -0.217%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 17:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -10.10%E -8.86%K -72.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -2.39%E -0.199%K -0.217%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -12.47%E -11.23%K -113.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -2.39%E -0.199%K -0.217%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -12.47%E -11.23%K -113.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -2.39%E -0.199%K -0.217%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 79.68%EV -12.47%E -11.23%K -113.32%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.69%EV -6.46%E -0.562%K -0.615%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -9.31%E -8.10%K -62.07%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.06%EV -8.49%E -0.755%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.13%EV -10.26%E -1.49%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -7.73%E -6.61%K -45.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -10.53%E -0.957%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 17:55
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.73%E -6.61%K -45.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -10.53%E -0.957%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.96%EV -9.31%E -8.10%K -62.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -10.53%E -0.957%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.79%EV -7.66%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -10.89%E -9.64%K -83.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.48%EV -14.59%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 17:44
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.46%EV -3.79%E -3.11%K -17.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.57%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.97%EV +4.05%E +0.506%K +0.578%G +0.023%4.5%2026-08-15 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -3.79%E -3.11%K -17.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.37%EV -8.52%E -7.35%K -53.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -5.71%E -0.787%K -0.913%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 17:59
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 17:59
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -10.10%E -8.86%K -72.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.80%EV -9.31%E -8.10%K -62.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -22.73%E -2.39%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 17:55
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.18%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.00%1.0%2026-08-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.03%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.99%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98%1.2%2026-08-15 17:55
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.03%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.99%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98%1.2%2026-08-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.03%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.99%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98%1.2%2026-08-15 17:55
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 82.48%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.81%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.71%2.7%2026-08-15 17:35