Langue:Français
Al-Nassr v Al-Fateh
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Nassr (Local)
Prévision 78.86%1.27cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -2.44%
Kelly -13.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.95%78.94%78.59%81.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.141.141.2394.34%87.34%87.72%81.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Al-Fateh (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.13%12.29cote équitable
EV +9.32%
Avantage +0.694%
Kelly +0.749%
Croissance +0.070%
avec la cote maximale 13.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.82%8.15%8.28%9.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.5011.6312.0013.4410.53%8.60%8.33%7.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 13.01%7.69cote équitable
EV +6.78%
Avantage +0.826%
Kelly +0.940%
Croissance +0.064%
avec la cote maximale 8.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.51%12.92%13.14%13.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.507.247.478.2115.38%13.81%13.38%12.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Al-Nassr (Local) : 78.86% ; Al-Fateh (Visiteur) : 8.13% ; Match nul : 13.01%. Pour Al-Fateh (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 12.29. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 13.44, soit une espérance positive de +9.32%.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.46%EV -8.52%E -7.35%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 13.44I 7.44%NM 7.03%EV +9.32%E +0.694%K +0.749%G +0.070% | 8.21I 12.18%NM 11.51%EV +6.78%E +0.826%K +0.940%G +0.064% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -10.10%E -8.86%K -72.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.12%EV -10.89%E -9.64%K -83.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.83%EV +0.797%E +0.103%K +0.118%G +0.001% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.68%E -10.43%K -97.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.68%E -10.43%K -97.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.68%E -10.43%K -97.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.68%E -10.43%K -97.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.68%E -10.43%K -97.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -13.25%E -12.05%K -132.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -14.04%E -12.88%K -156.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 81.56%EV -16.41%E -15.48%K -273.48%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 6.92%EV +1.68%E +0.134%K +0.146%G +0.002% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.53%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.05%EV -3.00%E -2.44%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 12.30I 8.13%NM 7.90%EV +0.049%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 13.05%EV -3.11%E -0.417%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.73%E -6.61%K -45.49%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -2.39%E -0.199%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 17:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -10.10%E -8.86%K -72.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -2.39%E -0.199%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -12.47%E -11.23%K -113.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -2.39%E -0.199%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -12.47%E -11.23%K -113.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -2.39%E -0.199%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.68%EV -12.47%E -11.23%K -113.32%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.69%EV -6.46%E -0.562%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -9.31%E -8.10%K -62.07%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.06%EV -8.49%E -0.755%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.13%EV -10.26%E -1.49%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -7.73%E -6.61%K -45.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -10.53%E -0.957%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.73%E -6.61%K -45.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -10.53%E -0.957%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.96%EV -9.31%E -8.10%K -62.07%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -10.53%E -0.957%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.79%EV -7.66%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -10.89%E -9.64%K -83.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.48%EV -14.59%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.46%EV -3.79%E -3.11%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.57%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.97%EV +4.05%E +0.506%K +0.578%G +0.023% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -3.79%E -3.11%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.37%EV -8.52%E -7.35%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -5.71%E -0.787%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -10.10%E -8.86%K -72.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.80%EV -9.31%E -8.10%K -62.07%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -22.73%E -2.39%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.18% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.03% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.99% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.03% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.99% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.03% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.99% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.48% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.81% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.71% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 17:35 |