Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Nassr v Al-Fateh

Inizio: 2026-08-15 18:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Nassr 3–0 Al-Fateh

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Nassr (Casa)

Previsione 78.86%1.27quota equa
EV -3.00%
Vantaggio -2.44%
Kelly -13.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.95%78.94%78.59%81.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.061.141.141.2394.34%87.34%87.72%81.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Fateh (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.13%12.29quota equa
EV +9.32%
Vantaggio +0.694%
Kelly +0.749%
Crescita +0.070%

ipotizzando la quota massima 13.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.82%8.15%8.28%9.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
9.5011.6312.0013.4410.53%8.60%8.33%7.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 13.01%7.69quota equa
EV +6.78%
Vantaggio +0.826%
Kelly +0.940%
Crescita +0.064%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.51%12.92%13.14%13.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.247.478.2115.38%13.81%13.38%12.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Nassr (Casa): 78.86%; Al-Fateh (Trasferta): 8.13%; Pareggio: 13.01%. Per Al-Fateh (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 12.29. 12 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 13.44, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +9.32%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.46%EV -8.52%E -7.35%K -53.27%G +0.000%13.44I 7.44%NM 7.03%EV +9.32%E +0.694%K +0.749%G +0.070%8.21I 12.18%NM 11.51%EV +6.78%E +0.826%K +0.940%G +0.064%5.8%2026-08-15 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -10.10%E -8.86%K -72.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 17:59
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.12%EV -10.89%E -9.64%K -83.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.83%EV +0.797%E +0.103%K +0.118%G +0.001%9.1%2026-08-15 17:44
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.68%E -10.43%K -97.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:59
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.68%E -10.43%K -97.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.68%E -10.43%K -97.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.68%E -10.43%K -97.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.68%E -10.43%K -97.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -13.25%E -12.05%K -132.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 17:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -14.04%E -12.88%K -156.03%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV +5.74%E +0.442%K +0.479%G +0.027%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 81.56%EV -16.41%E -15.48%K -273.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 6.92%EV +1.68%E +0.134%K +0.146%G +0.002%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.53%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-15 17:59
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.05%EV -3.00%E -2.44%K -13.05%G +0.000%12.30I 8.13%NM 7.90%EV +0.049%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 13.05%EV -3.11%E -0.417%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 17:59
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.73%E -6.61%K -45.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -2.39%E -0.199%K -0.217%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 17:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -10.10%E -8.86%K -72.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -2.39%E -0.199%K -0.217%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -12.47%E -11.23%K -113.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -2.39%E -0.199%K -0.217%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -12.47%E -11.23%K -113.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -2.39%E -0.199%K -0.217%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 79.68%EV -12.47%E -11.23%K -113.32%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.69%EV -6.46%E -0.562%K -0.615%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -9.31%E -8.10%K -62.07%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.06%EV -8.49%E -0.755%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.13%EV -10.26%E -1.49%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -7.73%E -6.61%K -45.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -10.53%E -0.957%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 17:55
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.73%E -6.61%K -45.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -10.53%E -0.957%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.96%EV -9.31%E -8.10%K -62.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -10.53%E -0.957%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.79%EV -7.66%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -10.89%E -9.64%K -83.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.48%EV -14.59%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 17:44
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.46%EV -3.79%E -3.11%K -17.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.57%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.97%EV +4.05%E +0.506%K +0.578%G +0.023%4.5%2026-08-15 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -3.79%E -3.11%K -17.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.37%EV -8.52%E -7.35%K -53.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -5.71%E -0.787%K -0.913%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 17:59
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 17:59
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -10.10%E -8.86%K -72.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -18.66%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.80%EV -9.31%E -8.10%K -62.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -22.73%E -2.39%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 17:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.18%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.00%1.0%2026-08-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.03%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.99%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98%1.2%2026-08-15 17:55
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.03%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.99%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98%1.2%2026-08-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.03%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.99%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98%1.2%2026-08-15 17:55
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 82.48%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.81%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.71%2.7%2026-08-15 17:35