L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Nassr v Al-Ettifaq
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Nassr (Local)
Prévision 80.46%1.24cote équitable
EV -5.06%
Avantage -4.29%
Kelly -28.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.56%80.59%80.48%84.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.061.121.111.1894.34%89.39%90.09%84.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Ettifaq (Visiteur)
Prévision 7.60%13.15cote équitable
EV +23.91%
Avantage +1.47%
Kelly +1.56%
Croissance +0.374%
avec la cote maximale 16.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.78%7.69%7.39%8.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.0013.5213.8616.3010.00%7.40%7.22%6.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 11.94%8.37cote équitable
EV +25.74%
Avantage +2.44%
Kelly +2.70%
Croissance +0.695%
avec la cote maximale 10.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.95%11.72%12.13%13.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.508.138.5010.5315.38%12.29%11.76%9.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.17%EV -9.89%E -8.83%K -82.40%G +0.000% | 13.71I 7.29%NM 6.88%EV +4.22%E +0.308%K +0.332%G +0.014% | 10.53I 9.50%NM 8.95%EV +25.74%E +2.44%K +2.70%G +0.695% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.73%EV -11.50%E -10.45%K -114.98%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV +6.43%E +0.459%K +0.494%G +0.032% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV +13.44%E +1.41%K +1.58%G +0.213% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| 1xBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.54%EV -6.67%E -5.75%K -41.69%G +0.000% | 16.30I 6.13%NM 5.95%EV +23.91%E +1.47%K +1.56%G +0.374% | 9.22I 10.85%NM 10.51%EV +10.10%E +1.10%K +1.23%G +0.124% | 3.2% | 2026-04-15 17:58 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -11.50%E -10.45%K -114.98%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV +14.03%E +0.935%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV +7.47%E +0.830%K +0.934%G +0.070% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.73%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV +7.47%E +0.830%K +0.934%G +0.070% | 8.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.83%EV -5.06%E -4.29%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -8.78%E -0.731%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -5.06%E -4.29%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -16.38%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.34%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +21.63%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.34%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +21.63%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.34%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +21.63%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.34%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +21.63%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.34%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +21.63%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.34%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +21.63%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.27%EV -12.30%E -11.29%K -136.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +14.03%E +0.935%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 10.2% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.27%EV -12.30%E -11.29%K -136.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +14.03%E +0.935%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 10.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Sky Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.34%EV -11.50%E -10.45%K -114.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.13%EV -16.38%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 11.8% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| betfred_uk | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.25%EV -8.28%E -7.26%K -59.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -16.38%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.46%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -4.98%E -0.398%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 82.98%EV -13.91%E -13.00%K -198.73%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV +14.03%E +0.935%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 82.98%EV -13.91%E -13.00%K -198.73%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV +14.03%E +0.935%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 82.77%EV -14.72%E -13.88%K -245.26%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.27%EV +6.43%E +0.459%K +0.494%G +0.032% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.85%EV -9.89%E -8.83%K -82.40%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -8.78%E -0.731%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.61%EV -6.86%E -0.879%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.45%EV -7.47%E -6.50%K -49.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV -12.58%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -13.43%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -8.28%E -7.26%K -59.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -8.78%E -0.731%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -16.41%E -2.34%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -8.28%E -7.26%K -59.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -8.78%E -0.731%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -16.41%E -2.34%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -8.28%E -7.26%K -59.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -8.78%E -0.731%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -16.41%E -2.34%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -8.28%E -7.26%K -59.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -8.78%E -0.731%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -16.41%E -2.34%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.92%EV -11.50%E -10.45%K -114.98%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV +6.43%E +0.459%K +0.494%G +0.032% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -16.41%E -2.34%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.13%EV -7.47%E -6.50%K -49.83%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.56%EV -20.18%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -19.40%E -2.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -8.28%E -7.26%K -59.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -23.98%E -2.40%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -22.38%E -3.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.06% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.95% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.07% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Kalshi | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.88% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.83% | 2.0% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.69% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.57% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.74% | 2.7% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Smarkets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.52% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.84% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |