La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Nassr v Al-Ettifaq
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Nassr (Local)
Predicción 80.46%1.24momio equitativo
EV -5.06%
Ventaja -4.29%
Kelly -28.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.56%80.59%80.48%84.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.121.111.1894.34%89.39%90.09%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Ettifaq (Visitante)
Predicción 7.60%13.15momio equitativo
EV +23.91%
Ventaja +1.47%
Kelly +1.56%
Crecimiento +0.374%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 16.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.78%7.69%7.39%8.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
10.0013.5213.8616.3010.00%7.40%7.22%6.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 11.94%8.37momio equitativo
EV +25.74%
Ventaja +2.44%
Kelly +2.70%
Crecimiento +0.695%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.95%11.72%12.13%13.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.508.138.5010.5315.38%12.29%11.76%9.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.17%EV -9.89%E -8.83%K -82.40%G +0.000% | 13.71I 7.29%NM 6.88%EV +4.22%E +0.308%K +0.332%G +0.014% | 10.53I 9.50%NM 8.95%EV +25.74%E +2.44%K +2.70%G +0.695% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.73%EV -11.50%E -10.45%K -114.98%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV +6.43%E +0.459%K +0.494%G +0.032% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV +13.44%E +1.41%K +1.58%G +0.213% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| 1xBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.54%EV -6.67%E -5.75%K -41.69%G +0.000% | 16.30I 6.13%NM 5.95%EV +23.91%E +1.47%K +1.56%G +0.374% | 9.22I 10.85%NM 10.51%EV +10.10%E +1.10%K +1.23%G +0.124% | 3.2% | 2026-04-15 17:58 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -11.50%E -10.45%K -114.98%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV +14.03%E +0.935%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV +7.47%E +0.830%K +0.934%G +0.070% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.73%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -1.17%E -0.090%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV +7.47%E +0.830%K +0.934%G +0.070% | 8.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.83%EV -5.06%E -4.29%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -8.78%E -0.731%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -5.06%E -4.29%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -16.38%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.34%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +21.63%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.34%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +21.63%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.34%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +21.63%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.34%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +21.63%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.34%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +21.63%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.34%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +21.63%E +1.35%K +1.44%G +0.312% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.27%EV -12.30%E -11.29%K -136.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +14.03%E +0.935%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 10.2% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.27%EV -12.30%E -11.29%K -136.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +14.03%E +0.935%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 10.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Sky Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.34%EV -11.50%E -10.45%K -114.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.13%EV -16.38%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV +1.50%E +0.177%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 11.8% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| betfred_uk | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.25%EV -8.28%E -7.26%K -59.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -16.38%E -1.49%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.46%EV -10.69%E -9.63%K -97.21%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -4.98%E -0.398%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 82.98%EV -13.91%E -13.00%K -198.73%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV +14.03%E +0.935%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 82.98%EV -13.91%E -13.00%K -198.73%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV +14.03%E +0.935%K +1.00%G +0.141% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 82.77%EV -14.72%E -13.88%K -245.26%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.27%EV +6.43%E +0.459%K +0.494%G +0.032% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -4.47%E -0.559%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.85%EV -9.89%E -8.83%K -82.40%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -8.78%E -0.731%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.61%EV -6.86%E -0.879%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.45%EV -7.47%E -6.50%K -49.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV -12.58%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -13.43%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -8.28%E -7.26%K -59.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -8.78%E -0.731%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -16.41%E -2.34%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -8.28%E -7.26%K -59.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -8.78%E -0.731%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -16.41%E -2.34%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -8.28%E -7.26%K -59.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -8.78%E -0.731%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -16.41%E -2.34%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -8.28%E -7.26%K -59.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -8.78%E -0.731%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -16.41%E -2.34%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.92%EV -11.50%E -10.45%K -114.98%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV +6.43%E +0.459%K +0.494%G +0.032% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -16.41%E -2.34%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.13%EV -7.47%E -6.50%K -49.83%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.56%EV -20.18%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -19.40%E -2.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -8.28%E -7.26%K -59.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -23.98%E -2.40%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -22.38%E -3.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.06% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.95% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.07% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Kalshi | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.88% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.83% | 2.0% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.69% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.57% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.74% | 2.7% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Smarkets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.52% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.84% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |