La scuola delle quote

Al-Najma v Neom

Inizio: 2026-04-11 16:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Najma (Casa)

Previsione 15.92%6.28quota equa
EV -4.18%
Vantaggio -0.694%
Kelly -0.832%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.20%15.85%16.12%18.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.705.235.056.0221.28%19.13%19.80%16.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Neom (Trasferta)

Previsione 61.18%1.63quota equa
EV -1.51%
Vantaggio -0.937%
Kelly -2.47%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.85%61.27%61.15%63.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.511.501.6169.93%66.14%66.67%62.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.91%4.37quota equa
EV -2.64%
Vantaggio -0.622%
Kelly -0.813%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.37%22.88%22.73%24.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.553.923.904.2528.17%25.48%25.64%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet6.02I 16.61%NM 16.10%EV -4.18%E -0.694%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.20%EV -1.51%E -0.937%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.70%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 15:59
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -4.49%E -0.749%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -11.30%E -7.79%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -3.79%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 16:00
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -4.49%E -0.749%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 16:00
Pinnacle5.78I 17.30%NM 16.36%EV -8.00%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -2.64%E -0.622%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 15:59
Winamax (DE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.86%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -10.07%E -6.85%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 16:00
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 15:59
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 16:00
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -3.79%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 16:00
Betclic (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -11.30%E -7.79%K -25.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 16:00
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -15.64%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 15:59
Unibet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -16.43%E -3.13%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 16:00
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 16.70%EV -17.23%E -3.31%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.74%EV -12.52%E -8.76%K -29.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.56%EV -11.81%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 16:01
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -18.82%E -3.69%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -1.51%E -0.937%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 16:00
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -18.82%E -3.69%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -1.51%E -0.937%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 16:00
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -18.82%E -3.69%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -1.51%E -0.937%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -3.79%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 16:00
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -3.79%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 16:00
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -3.34%E -2.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.81%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 16:00
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -3.96%E -2.52%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.81%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 16:01
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 16:00
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 16:00
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 16:01
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-11 16:00
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-11 16:00
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-11 16:00
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-11 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -17.53%E -4.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-11 15:59
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -22.00%E -4.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -23.60%E -4.92%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -11.81%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 16:00
PMU (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.11%EV -25.19%E -5.36%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 57.91%EV -10.07%E -6.85%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.98%EV -18.68%E -5.26%K -7.32%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-11 16:01
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.81%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34%1.7%2026-04-11 16:00
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-04-11 16:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.59%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-04-11 16:01
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.12%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-04-11 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 12.30%1.04I 96.15%NM 70.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 16.77%35.5%2026-04-11 16:01