L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Al-Najma v Neom
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Najma (Local)
Prévision 15.92%6.28cote équitable
EV -4.18%
Avantage -0.694%
Kelly -0.832%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 6.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.20%15.85%16.12%18.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.705.235.056.0221.28%19.13%19.80%16.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Neom (Visiteur)
Prévision 61.18%1.63cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.937%
Kelly -2.47%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.85%61.27%61.15%63.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.511.501.6169.93%66.14%66.67%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.91%4.37cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -0.622%
Kelly -0.813%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.37%22.88%22.73%24.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.923.904.2528.17%25.48%25.64%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.02I 16.61%NM 16.10%EV -4.18%E -0.694%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.20%EV -1.51%E -0.937%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.70%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -4.49%E -0.749%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -11.30%E -7.79%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -3.79%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -4.49%E -0.749%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.36%EV -8.00%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -2.64%E -0.622%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.86%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -10.07%E -6.85%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -3.79%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -11.30%E -7.79%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -15.64%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| Unibet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -16.43%E -3.13%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.70%EV -17.23%E -3.31%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.74%EV -12.52%E -8.76%K -29.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.56%EV -11.81%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -18.82%E -3.69%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -1.51%E -0.937%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -18.82%E -3.69%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -1.51%E -0.937%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -18.82%E -3.69%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -1.51%E -0.937%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -3.79%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -3.79%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -3.34%E -2.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.81%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -3.96%E -2.52%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.81%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -17.53%E -4.87%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -22.00%E -4.49%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -23.60%E -4.92%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -11.81%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.11%EV -25.19%E -5.36%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 57.91%EV -10.07%E -6.85%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.98%EV -18.68%E -5.26%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Kalshi | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.59% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Smarkets | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.12% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 12.30% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 70.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 16.77% | 35.5% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |