La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Najma v Neom
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Najma (Local)
Predicción 15.92%6.28momio equitativo
EV -4.18%
Ventaja -0.694%
Kelly -0.832%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.20%15.85%16.12%18.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.235.056.0221.28%19.13%19.80%16.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Neom (Visitante)
Predicción 61.18%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.937%
Kelly -2.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.85%61.27%61.15%63.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.511.501.6169.93%66.14%66.67%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.91%4.37momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -0.622%
Kelly -0.813%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.37%22.88%22.73%24.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.923.904.2528.17%25.48%25.64%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.02I 16.61%NM 16.10%EV -4.18%E -0.694%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.20%EV -1.51%E -0.937%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.70%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -4.49%E -0.749%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -11.30%E -7.79%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -3.79%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -4.49%E -0.749%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.36%EV -8.00%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -2.64%E -0.622%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.86%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -10.07%E -6.85%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -3.79%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -12.45%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -11.30%E -7.79%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -15.64%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| Unibet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -16.43%E -3.13%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.70%EV -17.23%E -3.31%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.74%EV -12.52%E -8.76%K -29.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.56%EV -11.81%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -18.82%E -3.69%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -1.51%E -0.937%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -18.82%E -3.69%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -1.51%E -0.937%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -18.82%E -3.69%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -1.51%E -0.937%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -3.79%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -3.79%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -3.34%E -2.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.81%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -3.96%E -2.52%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.81%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -20.41%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -17.53%E -4.87%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-11 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -22.00%E -4.49%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -23.60%E -4.92%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -11.81%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.11%EV -25.19%E -5.36%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 57.91%EV -10.07%E -6.85%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.98%EV -18.68%E -5.26%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Kalshi | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.59% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |
| Smarkets | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.12% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 12.30% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 70.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 16.77% | 35.5% | 2026-04-11 16:01 |