La scuola delle quote

Al-Najma v Al-Shabab

Inizio: 2026-05-20 18:02 UTC

Finale: Al-Najma 1–0 Al-Shabab

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Najma (Casa)

Previsione 17.81%5.62quota equa
EV -0.991%
Vantaggio -0.178%
Kelly -0.217%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.70%17.71%17.74%18.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.115.105.5621.74%19.56%19.61%17.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Shabab (Trasferta)

Previsione 61.81%1.62quota equa
EV -3.57%
Vantaggio -2.29%
Kelly -6.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.24%61.77%61.84%63.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.481.471.5669.44%67.69%68.03%64.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.38%4.91quota equa
EV -3.21%
Vantaggio -0.675%
Kelly -0.855%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.90%20.52%20.42%23.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.294.304.7527.78%23.33%23.26%21.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet5.56I 17.99%NM 17.44%EV -0.991%E -0.178%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.15%EV -3.57%E -2.29%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.41%EV -3.21%E -0.675%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-20 17:59
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -2.06%E -0.374%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -10.37%E -7.15%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-20 18:00
Pinnacle5.46I 18.32%NM 17.35%EV -2.77%E -0.508%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.32%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.33%EV -5.04%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:59
Unibet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.62%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 18:00
ATG (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.62%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 18:00
Svenska Spel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.62%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 18:00
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.51%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.51%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -6.51%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.18%EV -7.90%E -5.30%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.45%EV -13.39%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 18:00
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -7.40%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.77%EV -6.66%E -4.41%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -13.39%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 17:54
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -7.40%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.77%EV -6.66%E -4.41%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -13.39%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 17:54
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -7.40%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.77%EV -6.66%E -4.41%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -13.39%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 17:54
LeoVegas5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -7.40%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 17:54
Betclic (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -9.18%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.92%EV -9.13%E -6.21%K -19.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 17:57
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -9.18%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.37%EV -10.37%E -7.15%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-20 18:00
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -9.18%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.37%EV -10.37%E -7.15%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-20 18:00
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-20 17:59
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-20 17:59
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-20 18:00
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-20 18:00
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-20 18:00
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-20 18:00
PMU (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.00%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -16.45%E -4.01%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-20 17:54
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.49%E -4.62%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-20 17:59
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.49%E -4.62%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-20 18:00
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.49%E -4.62%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-20 17:59
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.49%E -4.62%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-20 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -26.64%E -7.40%K -10.25%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-20 18:00
Unibet (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -12.74%E -2.60%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.21%EV -9.75%E -6.68%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -11.36%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-20 17:59
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -15.41%E -3.25%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-20 18:00
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 18.87%EV -18.09%E -3.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 59.44%EV -9.75%E -6.68%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -18.49%E -4.62%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-20 18:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-05-20 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-05-20 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.80%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%1.5%2026-05-20 18:00
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.54%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%2.8%2026-05-20 18:00
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 16.76%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%4.7%2026-05-20 18:00