L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Najma v Al-Shabab
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Najma (Local)
Prévision 17.81%5.62cote équitable
EV -0.991%
Avantage -0.178%
Kelly -0.217%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.70%17.71%17.74%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.115.105.5621.74%19.56%19.61%17.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Shabab (Visiteur)
Prévision 61.81%1.62cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -2.29%
Kelly -6.37%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.24%61.77%61.84%63.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.481.471.5669.44%67.69%68.03%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.38%4.91cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -0.675%
Kelly -0.855%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.90%20.52%20.42%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.294.304.7527.78%23.33%23.26%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.44%EV -0.991%E -0.178%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.15%EV -3.57%E -2.29%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.41%EV -3.21%E -0.675%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -2.06%E -0.374%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -10.37%E -7.15%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.35%EV -2.77%E -0.508%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.32%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.33%EV -5.04%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| Unibet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.62%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.62%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.62%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.51%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.51%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -6.51%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.18%EV -7.90%E -5.30%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.45%EV -13.39%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -7.40%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.77%EV -6.66%E -4.41%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -13.39%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -7.40%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.77%EV -6.66%E -4.41%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -13.39%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -7.40%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.77%EV -6.66%E -4.41%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -13.39%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 17:54 |
| LeoVegas | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -7.40%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-20 17:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -9.18%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.92%EV -9.13%E -6.21%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-20 17:57 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -9.18%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.37%EV -10.37%E -7.15%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -9.18%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.37%EV -10.37%E -7.15%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.00%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -16.45%E -4.01%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-20 17:54 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.49%E -4.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.49%E -4.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.49%E -4.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.49%E -4.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -26.64%E -7.40%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -12.74%E -2.60%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.21%EV -9.75%E -6.68%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -11.36%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -15.41%E -3.25%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.87%EV -18.09%E -3.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 59.44%EV -9.75%E -6.68%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -18.49%E -4.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.1% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.80% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 1.5% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.54% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.76% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |