La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Najma v Al-Shabab
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Najma (Local)
Predicción 17.81%5.62momio equitativo
EV -0.991%
Ventaja -0.178%
Kelly -0.217%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.70%17.71%17.74%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.115.105.5621.74%19.56%19.61%17.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Shabab (Visitante)
Predicción 61.81%1.62momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -2.29%
Kelly -6.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.24%61.77%61.84%63.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.481.471.5669.44%67.69%68.03%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.38%4.91momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -0.675%
Kelly -0.855%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.90%20.52%20.42%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.294.304.7527.78%23.33%23.26%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.44%EV -0.991%E -0.178%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.15%EV -3.57%E -2.29%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.41%EV -3.21%E -0.675%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -2.06%E -0.374%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -10.37%E -7.15%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.35%EV -2.77%E -0.508%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.32%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.33%EV -5.04%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| Unibet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.62%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.62%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.62%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.51%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.51%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -6.51%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.18%EV -7.90%E -5.30%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.45%EV -13.39%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -7.40%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.77%EV -6.66%E -4.41%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -13.39%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -7.40%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.77%EV -6.66%E -4.41%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -13.39%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -7.40%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.77%EV -6.66%E -4.41%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -13.39%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 17:54 |
| LeoVegas | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -7.40%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-20 17:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -9.18%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.92%EV -9.13%E -6.21%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-20 17:57 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -9.18%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.37%EV -10.37%E -7.15%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -9.18%E -1.80%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.37%EV -10.37%E -7.15%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.00%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -16.45%E -4.01%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-20 17:54 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.49%E -4.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.49%E -4.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.49%E -4.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.49%E -4.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -10.96%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -26.64%E -7.40%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -12.74%E -2.60%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.21%EV -9.75%E -6.68%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -11.36%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-20 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -15.41%E -3.25%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.87%EV -18.09%E -3.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 59.44%EV -9.75%E -6.68%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -18.49%E -4.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.1% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.80% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 1.5% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.54% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.76% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |