Language:English
Al-Najma v Al-Okhdood
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Najma (Local)
Prediction 49.07%2.04fair odd
EV +0.602%
Edge +0.294%
Kelly +0.573%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.53%48.43%49.15%50.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.921.932.0557.14%51.95%51.81%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Okhdood (Visit)
Prediction 26.08%3.83fair odd
EV +0.415%
Edge +0.108%
Kelly +0.145%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.55%26.74%26.09%30.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.383.353.8534.72%29.61%29.85%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.84%4.03fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.281%
Kelly -0.376%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.85%24.84%24.76%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.553.503.9832.26%28.18%28.57%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Najma (Local): 49.07%; Al-Okhdood (Visit): 26.08%; Draw: 24.84%. For Al-Najma (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.602%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV +0.602%E +0.294%K +0.573%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -24.88%E -8.64%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV +0.602%E +0.294%K +0.573%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -24.88%E -8.64%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV +0.602%E +0.294%K +0.573%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -24.88%E -8.64%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV +0.602%E +0.294%K +0.573%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -24.88%E -8.64%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -0.870%E -0.431%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -16.77%E -5.01%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -0.870%E -0.431%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -16.77%E -5.01%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -1.85%E -0.926%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -12.63%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -14.29%E -4.14%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -1.85%E -0.926%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -12.63%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -14.29%E -4.14%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -1.85%E -0.926%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -1.85%E -0.926%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -1.85%E -0.926%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -15.23%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -18.01%E -5.46%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -3.32%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -14.29%E -4.14%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.77%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.23%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -18.01%E -5.46%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.77%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.23%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -18.01%E -5.46%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.28%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%EV +0.415%E +0.108%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.51%EV -1.62%E -0.408%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -2.19%E -0.585%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -2.19%E -0.585%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.22%EV -7.25%E -3.84%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.93%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.85%EV -1.12%E -0.281%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.70%EV -9.70%E -5.27%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -12.63%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.19%E -5.57%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -3.50%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.19%E -5.57%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -3.50%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -10.19%E -5.57%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.71%EV -8.57%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 18:48 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.12%EV -10.69%E -5.87%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -10.02%E -2.90%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.97%EV -11.06%E -3.09%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.67%E -6.48%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-28 18:53 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.67%E -6.48%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.67%E -6.48%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -22.98%E -7.41%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.19%EV -14.12%E -8.07%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.91%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 18:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.73% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |