La scuola delle quote

Al-Najma v Al-Okhdood

Inizio: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Najma (Casa)

Previsione 49.07%2.04quota equa
EV +0.602%
Vantaggio +0.294%
Kelly +0.573%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.53%48.43%49.15%50.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.921.932.0557.14%51.95%51.81%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Okhdood (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.08%3.83quota equa
EV +0.415%
Vantaggio +0.108%
Kelly +0.145%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.55%26.74%26.09%30.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.383.353.8534.72%29.61%29.85%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.84%4.03quota equa
EV -1.12%
Vantaggio -0.281%
Kelly -0.376%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.85%24.84%24.76%27.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.553.503.9832.26%28.18%28.57%25.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV +0.602%E +0.294%K +0.573%G +0.003%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -24.88%E -8.64%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 13:45
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV +0.602%E +0.294%K +0.573%G +0.003%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -24.88%E -8.64%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 13:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV +0.602%E +0.294%K +0.573%G +0.003%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -24.88%E -8.64%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 13:45
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV +0.602%E +0.294%K +0.573%G +0.003%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -24.88%E -8.64%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 13:45
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -0.870%E -0.431%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -16.77%E -5.01%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 18:34
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -0.870%E -0.431%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -16.77%E -5.01%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 18:34
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -1.85%E -0.926%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -12.63%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -14.29%E -4.14%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:55
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -1.85%E -0.926%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -12.63%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -14.29%E -4.14%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:55
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -1.85%E -0.926%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 18:54
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -1.85%E -0.926%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -1.85%E -0.926%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -15.23%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -18.01%E -5.46%K -7.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 18:34
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -3.32%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -14.29%E -4.14%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 18:54
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 45.77%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.23%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -18.01%E -5.46%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 45.77%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.23%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -18.01%E -5.46%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 18:55
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.28%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%EV +0.415%E +0.108%K +0.145%G +0.001%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.51%EV -1.62%E -0.408%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-28 18:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -2.19%E -0.585%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -2.19%E -0.585%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 18:49
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.22%EV -7.25%E -3.84%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.93%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.85%EV -1.12%E -0.281%K -0.376%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.83%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 18:49
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.70%EV -9.70%E -5.27%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -12.63%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 18:50
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.19%E -5.57%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -3.50%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 18:54
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.19%E -5.57%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -3.50%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -10.19%E -5.57%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.71%EV -8.57%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 18:48
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.12%EV -10.69%E -5.87%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -10.02%E -2.90%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.97%EV -11.06%E -3.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 18:54
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.67%E -6.48%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 18:53
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.67%E -6.48%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-28 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.67%E -6.48%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -22.98%E -7.41%K -10.94%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-28 18:54
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.19%EV -14.12%E -8.07%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.91%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-28 18:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-02-28 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-02-28 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-02-28 18:45
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79%2.1%2026-02-28 18:54