La scuola delle quote

Al-Najma v Al-Nassr

Inizio: 2026-02-25 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Najma (Casa)

Previsione 6.53%15.32quota equa
EV +27.92%
Vantaggio +1.42%
Kelly +1.50%
Crescita +0.419%

ipotizzando la quota massima 19.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
4.93%6.46%6.37%7.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
12.5014.4715.0019.608.00%6.91%6.67%5.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Nassr (Trasferta)

Previsione 83.00%1.20quota equa
EV -4.55%
Vantaggio -3.96%
Kelly -30.36%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.75%83.26%83.03%86.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.071.101.111.1593.46%90.80%90.09%86.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 10.48%9.54quota equa
EV +17.87%
Vantaggio +1.59%
Kelly +1.74%
Crescita +0.311%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.43%10.28%10.60%11.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.508.768.5011.2513.33%11.42%11.76%8.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet19.60I 5.10%NM 4.93%EV +27.92%E +1.42%K +1.50%G +0.419%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.28%EV -7.04%E -6.29%K -58.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +15.25%E +1.39%K +1.52%G +0.232%3.5%2026-02-25 18:55
Tipico (DE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +10.95%E +0.644%K +0.684%G +0.075%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -9.53%E -8.75%K -105.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -5.71%E -0.634%K -0.713%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 18:55
SportsBet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV +10.95%E +0.644%K +0.684%G +0.075%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.95%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -0.469%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 18:50
Pinnacle15.41I 6.49%NM 6.15%EV +0.572%E +0.037%K +0.040%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.42%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.43%EV +17.87%E +1.59%K +1.74%G +0.311%5.5%2026-02-25 18:50
Unibet (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.89%EV -7.04%E -6.29%K -58.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 18:35
Unibet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 13:14
Unibet (NL)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 13:14
Grosvenor15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 13:14
Unibet (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 13:14
Svenska Spel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 13:15
ATG (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 13:15
LeoVegas15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.70%E -7.91%K -87.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.70%E -7.91%K -87.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 18:10
Paddy Power15.00I 6.67%NM 6.02%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.46%EV -11.19%E -10.46%K -159.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -0.469%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-25 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 82.24%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -21.42%E -2.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-25 18:49
LiveScore Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -8.63%E -0.616%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 82.50%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -16.18%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-25 18:10
Virgin Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -8.63%E -0.616%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 82.50%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -16.18%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-25 18:10
Betclic (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -8.63%E -0.616%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 82.50%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -16.18%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-25 18:38
Winamax (DE)13.50I 7.41%NM 6.75%EV -11.89%E -0.881%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 83.65%EV -9.53%E -8.75%K -105.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -0.469%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 18:34
Unibet (FR)13.50I 7.41%NM 6.60%EV -11.89%E -0.881%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 81.75%EV -9.53%E -8.75%K -105.93%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 11.65%EV -19.85%E -2.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-25 18:54
Coral13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.68%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV -0.469%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.22%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -5.71%E -0.634%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 18:40
888sport13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 18:55
William Hill13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 18:55
888sport (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 18:55
Mr Green (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 18:55
BoyleSports13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 82.50%EV -9.53%E -8.75%K -105.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.58%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-25 18:55
Sky Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 82.64%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-25 18:49
Winamax (FR)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.16%EV -18.42%E -1.47%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 82.89%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -5.71%E -0.634%K -0.713%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-25 18:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)24.00I 4.17%NM 4.11%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.31%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%1.4%2026-02-25 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)24.00I 4.17%NM 4.11%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.31%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%1.4%2026-02-25 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)24.00I 4.17%NM 4.11%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.31%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%1.4%2026-02-25 18:50
Smarkets21.98I 4.55%NM 4.45%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.64%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.90%2.1%2026-02-25 18:55