L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Al-Najma v Al-Nassr
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Najma (Local)
Prévision 6.53%15.32cote équitable
EV +27.92%
Avantage +1.42%
Kelly +1.50%
Croissance +0.419%
avec la cote maximale 19.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.93%6.46%6.37%7.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
12.5014.4715.0019.608.00%6.91%6.67%5.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Nassr (Visiteur)
Prévision 83.00%1.20cote équitable
EV -4.55%
Avantage -3.96%
Kelly -30.36%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.75%83.26%83.03%86.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.071.101.111.1593.46%90.80%90.09%86.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 10.48%9.54cote équitable
EV +17.87%
Avantage +1.59%
Kelly +1.74%
Croissance +0.311%
avec la cote maximale 11.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.43%10.28%10.60%11.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.508.768.5011.2513.33%11.42%11.76%8.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 19.60I 5.10%NM 4.93%EV +27.92%E +1.42%K +1.50%G +0.419% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.28%EV -7.04%E -6.29%K -58.70%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +15.25%E +1.39%K +1.52%G +0.232% | 3.5% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +10.95%E +0.644%K +0.684%G +0.075% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -9.53%E -8.75%K -105.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -5.71%E -0.634%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV +10.95%E +0.644%K +0.684%G +0.075% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.95%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -0.469%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-25 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 15.41I 6.49%NM 6.15%EV +0.572%E +0.037%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.42%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.43%EV +17.87%E +1.59%K +1.74%G +0.311% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.89%EV -7.04%E -6.29%K -58.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 18:35 |
| Unibet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 13:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 13:14 |
| Grosvenor | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 13:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 13:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 13:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 13:15 |
| LeoVegas | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.70%E -7.91%K -87.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.70%E -7.91%K -87.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 18:10 |
| Paddy Power | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.02%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.46%EV -11.19%E -10.46%K -159.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -0.469%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-25 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.24%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -21.42%E -2.86%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-25 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -8.63%E -0.616%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.50%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -16.18%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-25 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -8.63%E -0.616%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.50%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -16.18%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-25 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -8.63%E -0.616%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.50%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -16.18%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-25 18:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.75%EV -11.89%E -0.881%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.65%EV -9.53%E -8.75%K -105.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -0.469%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-25 18:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.60%EV -11.89%E -0.881%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.75%EV -9.53%E -8.75%K -105.93%G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 11.65%EV -19.85%E -2.59%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-25 18:54 |
| Coral | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.68%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV -0.469%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.22%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -5.71%E -0.634%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 18:40 |
| 888sport | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| William Hill | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| BoyleSports | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.50%EV -9.53%E -8.75%K -105.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.58%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Sky Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.64%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-25 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.16%EV -18.42%E -1.47%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.89%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -5.71%E -0.634%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-25 18:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.11% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.31% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.11% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.31% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.11% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.31% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-25 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 21.98I 4.55%NM 4.45% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.64% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.90% | 2.1% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |