La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Najma v Al-Nassr
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Najma (Local)
Predicción 6.53%15.32momio equitativo
EV +27.92%
Ventaja +1.42%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.419%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 19.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
4.93%6.46%6.37%7.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
12.5014.4715.0019.608.00%6.91%6.67%5.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Nassr (Visitante)
Predicción 83.00%1.20momio equitativo
EV -4.55%
Ventaja -3.96%
Kelly -30.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.75%83.26%83.03%86.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.101.111.1593.46%90.80%90.09%86.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 10.48%9.54momio equitativo
EV +17.87%
Ventaja +1.59%
Kelly +1.74%
Crecimiento +0.311%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.43%10.28%10.60%11.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.508.768.5011.2513.33%11.42%11.76%8.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 19.60I 5.10%NM 4.93%EV +27.92%E +1.42%K +1.50%G +0.419% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.28%EV -7.04%E -6.29%K -58.70%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +15.25%E +1.39%K +1.52%G +0.232% | 3.5% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +10.95%E +0.644%K +0.684%G +0.075% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -9.53%E -8.75%K -105.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -5.71%E -0.634%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV +10.95%E +0.644%K +0.684%G +0.075% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.95%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -0.469%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-25 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 15.41I 6.49%NM 6.15%EV +0.572%E +0.037%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.42%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.43%EV +17.87%E +1.59%K +1.74%G +0.311% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.89%EV -7.04%E -6.29%K -58.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 18:35 |
| Unibet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 13:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 13:14 |
| Grosvenor | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 13:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 13:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 13:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 13:15 |
| LeoVegas | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.70%E -7.91%K -87.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.70%E -7.91%K -87.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 18:10 |
| Paddy Power | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.02%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.46%EV -11.19%E -10.46%K -159.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -0.469%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-25 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -2.10%E -0.140%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.24%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -21.42%E -2.86%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-25 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -8.63%E -0.616%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.50%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -16.18%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-25 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -8.63%E -0.616%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.50%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -16.18%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-25 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -8.63%E -0.616%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.50%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -16.18%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-25 18:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.75%EV -11.89%E -0.881%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.65%EV -9.53%E -8.75%K -105.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -0.469%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-25 18:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.60%EV -11.89%E -0.881%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.75%EV -9.53%E -8.75%K -105.93%G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 11.65%EV -19.85%E -2.59%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-25 18:54 |
| Coral | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.68%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV -0.469%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.22%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -5.71%E -0.634%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 18:40 |
| 888sport | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| William Hill | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| BoyleSports | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.50%EV -9.53%E -8.75%K -105.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.58%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Sky Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -15.16%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.64%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV -10.95%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-25 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.16%EV -18.42%E -1.47%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.89%EV -10.36%E -9.60%K -129.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -5.71%E -0.634%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-25 18:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.11% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.31% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.11% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.31% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.11% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.31% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-25 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 21.98I 4.55%NM 4.45% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.64% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.90% | 2.1% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |