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Al-Kholood v Al-Qadsiah
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Kholood (Local)
Prediction 14.79%6.76fair odd
EV +2.02%
Edge +0.293%
Kelly +0.343%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 6.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.70%14.80%14.48%15.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.256.406.9018.18%16.00%15.63%14.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Qadsiah (Visit)
Prediction 66.04%1.51fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -3.41%
Kelly -11.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.83%66.23%66.41%69.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.371.4475.19%72.85%72.99%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.18%5.21fair odd
EV +4.91%
Edge +0.898%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.054%
assuming max odds 5.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.28%18.97%19.11%21.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.684.705.4725.00%21.35%21.28%18.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Kholood (Local): 14.79%; Al-Qadsiah (Visit): 66.04%; Draw: 19.18%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.70%EV +2.02%E +0.293%K +0.343%G +0.007% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.01%EV -9.53%E -6.96%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.28%EV +4.91%E +0.898%K +1.10%G +0.054% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.10%E -0.821%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -9.53%E -6.96%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.02%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.51%EV -12.76%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.82%EV -8.21%E -5.91%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -6.02%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-05 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -5.37%E -0.839%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.50%EV -8.21%E -5.91%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -6.98%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -11.28%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.55%E -5.39%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.90%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 14:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -9.86%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -9.86%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -8.33%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.28%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -9.86%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-05 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.69%EV -15.72%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.28%EV -9.53%E -6.96%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -9.86%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-05 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.26I 15.97%NM 14.53%EV -7.44%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.91%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.56%EV -10.82%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-05 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -5.37%E -0.839%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.80%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -11.78%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -5.37%E -0.839%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.80%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -11.78%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-05 09:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-05 09:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV -14.24%E -2.46%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.07%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-05 11:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -14.98%E -2.61%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-05 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -14.98%E -2.61%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-05 11:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -14.98%E -2.61%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-05 11:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -18.68%E -3.40%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-05 13:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -11.28%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -19.45%E -4.63%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-05 09:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -11.28%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -23.28%E -5.82%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-05 09:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.81% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91% | 1.7% | 2026-03-05 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.81% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91% | 1.7% | 2026-03-05 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.81% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91% | 1.7% | 2026-03-05 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.56% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.31% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.14% | 2.5% | 2026-03-05 15:10 |