La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Kholood v Al-Qadsiah
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Kholood (Local)
Predicción 14.79%6.76momio equitativo
EV +2.02%
Ventaja +0.293%
Kelly +0.343%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.70%14.80%14.48%15.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.256.406.9018.18%16.00%15.63%14.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Qadsiah (Visitante)
Predicción 66.04%1.51momio equitativo
EV -4.91%
Ventaja -3.41%
Kelly -11.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.83%66.23%66.41%69.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.371.371.4475.19%72.85%72.99%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.18%5.21momio equitativo
EV +4.91%
Ventaja +0.898%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.054%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.28%18.97%19.11%21.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.684.705.4725.00%21.35%21.28%18.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.70%EV +2.02%E +0.293%K +0.343%G +0.007% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.01%EV -9.53%E -6.96%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.28%EV +4.91%E +0.898%K +1.10%G +0.054% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 17:35 |
| Coral | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.10%E -0.821%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -9.53%E -6.96%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.02%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.51%EV -12.76%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.82%EV -8.21%E -5.91%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -6.02%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-05 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -5.37%E -0.839%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.50%EV -8.21%E -5.91%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -6.98%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -11.28%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 14:50 |
| Unibet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.55%E -5.39%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.90%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 14:49 |
| LeoVegas | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -9.86%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -9.86%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -8.33%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.28%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -9.86%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-05 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.69%EV -15.72%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.28%EV -9.53%E -6.96%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -9.86%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-05 15:20 |
| 1xBet | 6.26I 15.97%NM 14.53%EV -7.44%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.91%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.56%EV -10.82%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-05 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -5.37%E -0.839%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.80%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -11.78%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -5.37%E -0.839%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.80%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -11.78%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-05 09:35 |
| Paddy Power | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-05 09:34 |
| William Hill | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV -14.24%E -2.46%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.07%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-05 11:10 |
| 888sport | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -14.98%E -2.61%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-05 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -14.98%E -2.61%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-05 11:31 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -14.98%E -2.61%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-05 11:31 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -18.68%E -3.40%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-05 13:09 |
| Sky Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -11.28%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -19.45%E -4.63%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-05 09:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -11.28%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -23.28%E -5.82%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-05 09:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.81% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91% | 1.7% | 2026-03-05 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.81% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91% | 1.7% | 2026-03-05 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.81% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91% | 1.7% | 2026-03-05 15:25 |
| Smarkets | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.56% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.31% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.14% | 2.5% | 2026-03-05 15:10 |