L’École des cotes

Al-Kholood v Al-Qadsiah

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Kholood (Local)

Prévision 14.79%6.76cote équitable
EV +2.02%
Avantage +0.293%
Kelly +0.343%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 6.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.70%14.80%14.48%15.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.256.406.9018.18%16.00%15.63%14.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Qadsiah (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.04%1.51cote équitable
EV -4.91%
Avantage -3.41%
Kelly -11.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.83%66.23%66.41%69.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.371.371.4475.19%72.85%72.99%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.18%5.21cote équitable
EV +4.91%
Avantage +0.898%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.054%

avec la cote maximale 5.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.28%18.97%19.11%21.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.684.705.4725.00%21.35%21.28%18.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle6.90I 14.49%NM 13.70%EV +2.02%E +0.293%K +0.343%G +0.007%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.01%EV -9.53%E -6.96%K -25.76%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.28%EV +4.91%E +0.898%K +1.10%G +0.054%5.8%2026-03-05 17:35
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.10%E -0.821%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 13:50
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -9.53%E -6.96%K -25.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.02%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 15:00
Winamax (DE)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.51%EV -12.76%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.82%EV -8.21%E -5.91%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -6.02%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-05 15:20
Betclic (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -5.37%E -0.839%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.50%EV -8.21%E -5.91%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -6.98%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -11.28%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 14:50
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 17:00
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 17:00
Unibet (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 17:00
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 17:00
ATG (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 17:00
Svenska Spel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.94%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 17:00
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.55%E -5.39%K -18.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.90%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 14:49
LeoVegas6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -9.86%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-05 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -9.86%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-05 17:00
Unibet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -8.33%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.28%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -9.86%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-05 14:54
Winamax (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.69%EV -15.72%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 65.28%EV -9.53%E -6.96%K -25.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -9.86%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-05 15:20
1xBet6.26I 15.97%NM 14.53%EV -7.44%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.91%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.35%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.56%EV -10.82%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-05 14:50
LiveScore Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -5.37%E -0.839%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.80%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -11.78%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-05 17:00
Virgin Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -5.37%E -0.839%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.80%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -11.78%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-05 17:00
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-05 09:35
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -3.89%E -0.599%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-05 09:34
William Hill5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV -14.24%E -2.46%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.07%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-05 11:10
888sport5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -14.98%E -2.61%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-05 11:09
Mr Green (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -14.98%E -2.61%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-05 11:31
888sport (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -14.98%E -2.61%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-05 11:31
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -18.68%E -3.40%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -13.69%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-05 13:09
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -11.28%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -19.45%E -4.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-05 09:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -11.28%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -23.28%E -5.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-05 09:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.81%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%1.7%2026-03-05 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.81%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%1.7%2026-03-05 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.81%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%1.7%2026-03-05 15:25
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.56%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.31%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.14%2.5%2026-03-05 15:10