Language:English
Al-Kholood v Al-Ahli
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Kholood (Local)
Prediction 17.98%5.56fair odd
EV +3.40%
Edge +0.591%
Kelly +0.716%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.75%17.79%18.05%19.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.275.405.7521.74%18.96%18.52%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Ahli (Visit)
Prediction 58.52%1.71fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -3.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.88%58.70%58.56%61.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.521.531.6770.92%65.62%65.36%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.49%4.26fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.602%
Kelly -0.793%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.44%23.51%23.39%24.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.833.904.1527.78%26.09%25.64%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Kholood (Local): 17.98%; Al-Ahli (Visit): 58.52%; Draw: 23.49%. For Al-Kholood (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.56. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV +2.50%E +0.439%K +0.532%G +0.013% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -11.05%E -7.27%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.18%EV +1.60%E +0.284%K +0.345%G +0.006% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.12%EV -2.27%E -1.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.70%EV -7.67%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-29 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV +0.704%E +0.126%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -15.73%E -10.92%K -35.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -9.55%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -15.73%E -10.92%K -35.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -15.73%E -10.92%K -35.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -15.73%E -10.92%K -35.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -2.89%E -0.536%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.61%EV -6.95%E -4.37%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.84%EV -2.50%E -0.602%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -2.89%E -0.536%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -9.29%E -5.99%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.90%EV -2.89%E -0.536%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 60.89%EV -17.48%E -12.40%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.21%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.59%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 16:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -4.85%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 16:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.03%EV -9.29%E -5.99%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.35%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-29 16:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.35%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-29 16:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.35%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-29 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.12%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.37%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -15.48%E -3.29%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.32%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -14.24%E -3.90%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-29 16:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 16:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.87% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 16:00 |