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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Kholood v Al-Ahli

开赛时间： 2026-08-29 16:07 UTC

最终结果： Al-Kholood 3–1 Al-Ahli

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Kholood (主队)

预测 17.98%5.56公平赔率
EV +3.40%
优势 +0.591%
Kelly +0.716%
增长率 +0.024%

假设最高赔率为 5.75

博彩公司预测分布
15.75%17.79%18.05%19.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.275.405.7521.74%18.96%18.52%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Ahli (客队)

预测 58.52%1.71公平赔率
EV -2.27%
优势 -1.36%
Kelly -3.38%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
56.88%58.70%58.56%61.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.411.521.531.6770.92%65.62%65.36%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.49%4.26公平赔率
EV -2.50%
优势 -0.602%
Kelly -0.793%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.15

博彩公司预测分布
22.44%23.51%23.39%24.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.833.904.1527.78%26.09%25.64%24.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Kholood (主队)：17.98%；Al-Ahli (客队)：58.52%；平局：23.49%。 对于“Al-Kholood (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.56。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.75，对应+3.40%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:05
Grosvenor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV +2.50%E +0.439%K +0.532%G +0.013%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -11.05%E -7.27%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 15:45
1xBet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.18%EV +1.60%E +0.284%K +0.345%G +0.006%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.12%EV -2.27%E -1.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.70%EV -7.67%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV +0.704%E +0.126%K +0.153%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -15.73%E -10.92%K -35.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -9.55%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 16:05
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -15.73%E -10.92%K -35.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-29 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -15.73%E -10.92%K -35.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-29 16:05
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -15.73%E -10.92%K -35.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-29 16:05
Pinnacle🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -2.89%E -0.536%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.61%EV -6.95%E -4.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.84%EV -2.50%E -0.602%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 15:55
SportsBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -2.89%E -0.536%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -9.29%E -5.99%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 15.90%EV -2.89%E -0.536%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 60.89%EV -17.48%E -12.40%K -42.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.21%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-29 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.59%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 16:04
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -4.85%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 15:55
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 15:55
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 15:55
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.03%EV -9.29%E -5.99%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 16:05
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.35%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 16:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.35%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 16:04
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.35%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 16:04
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.12%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.37%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-29 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -15.48%E -3.29%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.32%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -14.24%E -3.90%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 16:04
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 16:04
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-08-29 16:05
Kalshi◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-08-29 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-08-29 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.6%2026-08-29 16:05
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%2.0%2026-08-29 16:00