Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Kholood v Al-Ahli

Inizio: 2026-08-29 16:07 UTC

Finale: Al-Kholood 3–1 Al-Ahli

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Kholood (Casa)

Previsione 17.98%5.56quota equa
EV +3.40%
Vantaggio +0.591%
Kelly +0.716%
Crescita +0.024%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.75%17.79%18.05%19.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.275.405.7521.74%18.96%18.52%17.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Ahli (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.52%1.71quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -1.36%
Kelly -3.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.88%58.70%58.56%61.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.411.521.531.6770.92%65.62%65.36%59.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.49%4.26quota equa
EV -2.50%
Vantaggio -0.602%
Kelly -0.793%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.44%23.51%23.39%24.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.833.904.1527.78%26.09%25.64%24.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Kholood (Casa): 17.98%; Al-Ahli (Trasferta): 58.52%; Pareggio: 23.49%. Per Al-Kholood (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.56. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.40%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:05
Grosvenor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV +3.40%E +0.591%K +0.716%G +0.024%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV +2.50%E +0.439%K +0.532%G +0.013%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -11.05%E -7.27%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 15:45
1xBet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.18%EV +1.60%E +0.284%K +0.345%G +0.006%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.12%EV -2.27%E -1.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.70%EV -7.67%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV +0.704%E +0.126%K +0.153%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -15.73%E -10.92%K -35.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -9.55%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 16:05
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -15.73%E -10.92%K -35.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-29 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -15.73%E -10.92%K -35.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-29 16:05
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -15.73%E -10.92%K -35.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-29 16:05
Pinnacle🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -2.89%E -0.536%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.61%EV -6.95%E -4.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.84%EV -2.50%E -0.602%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 15:55
SportsBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -2.89%E -0.536%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -9.29%E -5.99%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 15.90%EV -2.89%E -0.536%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 60.89%EV -17.48%E -12.40%K -42.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.21%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-29 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.59%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.19%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 16:04
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -4.85%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 15:55
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 15:55
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 15:55
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.03%EV -9.29%E -5.99%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 16:05
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.35%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 16:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.35%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 16:04
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.35%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 16:04
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.12%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.37%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-29 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -15.48%E -3.29%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.32%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -14.24%E -3.90%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 16:04
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 16:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-08-29 16:05
Kalshi◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-08-29 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-08-29 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.6%2026-08-29 16:05
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%2.0%2026-08-29 16:00