A Escola das Odds

Al-Khaleej v Al-Nassr

Início: 2026-03-14 19:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

29 casas de apostas (6 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Al-Khaleej (Local)

Previsão 13.32%7.51odd justa
EV +5.08%
Vantagem +0.644%
Kelly +0.738%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.45%13.46%13.42%14.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.007.037.007.8916.67%14.22%14.29%12.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Nassr (Visitante)

Previsão 68.79%1.45odd justa
EV -3.70%
Vantagem -2.64%
Kelly -9.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.42%68.79%68.43%71.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.311.321.4080.00%76.20%75.76%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 17.89%5.59odd justa
EV +3.78%
Vantagem +0.651%
Kelly +0.787%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.27%17.74%18.15%19.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.335.065.105.8023.09%19.75%19.61%17.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (29 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet7.89I 12.67%NM 12.29%EV +5.08%E +0.644%K +0.738%G +0.038%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.27%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%EV -5.88%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 18:59
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:00
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:00
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:00
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:00
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.57%E -8.13%K -35.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.57%E -8.13%K -35.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 19:00
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -14.01%E -11.21%K -56.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -1.59%E -0.289%K -0.353%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 19:00
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -14.01%E -11.21%K -56.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -1.59%E -0.289%K -0.353%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.45%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 68.71%EV -14.01%E -11.21%K -56.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.84%EV -22.52%E -5.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-14 19:00
Pinnacle7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -1.44%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.97%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +3.78%E +0.651%K +0.787%G +0.030%5.9%2026-03-14 18:59
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -4.11%E -0.570%K -0.662%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -10.57%E -8.13%K -35.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.59%E -0.289%K -0.353%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.59%E -0.289%K -0.353%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:00
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.59%E -0.289%K -0.353%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -5.76%E -4.20%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 19:00
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.25%EV -9.89%E -7.55%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 19:00
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.95%E -9.34%K -42.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -12.33%E -2.52%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-14 19:00
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.95%E -9.34%K -42.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -12.33%E -2.52%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-14 19:00
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -14.01%E -11.21%K -56.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.81%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 19:00
Betclic (FR)6.60I 15.15%NM 13.71%EV -12.10%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.55%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 18:59
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -17.69%E -3.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 19:00
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -11.26%E -8.73%K -38.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -15.90%E -3.38%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet (FR)6.35I 15.75%NM 14.07%EV -15.43%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -12.33%E -2.52%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 19:00
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.09%E -3.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 18:59
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.09%E -3.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 18:59
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.09%E -3.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 18:59
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -20.09%E -3.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.42%EV -10.57%E -8.13%K -35.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -19.48%E -4.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-14 19:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%1.1%2026-03-14 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%1.1%2026-03-14 19:00
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.87%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.31%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.82%1.2%2026-03-14 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.13%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79%2.1%2026-03-14 19:00
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 12.53%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.60%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%5.0%2026-03-14 19:00