L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Khaleej v Al-Nassr
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Khaleej (Local)
Prévision 13.32%7.51cote équitable
EV +5.08%
Avantage +0.644%
Kelly +0.738%
Croissance +0.038%
avec la cote maximale 7.89
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.45%13.46%13.42%14.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.037.007.8916.67%14.22%14.29%12.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Nassr (Visiteur)
Prévision 68.79%1.45cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -2.64%
Kelly -9.24%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.42%68.79%68.43%71.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.311.321.4080.00%76.20%75.76%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 17.89%5.59cote équitable
EV +3.78%
Avantage +0.651%
Kelly +0.787%
Croissance +0.030%
avec la cote maximale 5.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.27%17.74%18.15%19.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.065.105.8023.09%19.75%19.61%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.89I 12.67%NM 12.29%EV +5.08%E +0.644%K +0.738%G +0.038% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.27%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%EV -5.88%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Unibet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.57%E -8.13%K -35.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.57%E -8.13%K -35.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -14.01%E -11.21%K -56.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -1.59%E -0.289%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -14.01%E -11.21%K -56.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -1.59%E -0.289%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.45%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 68.71%EV -14.01%E -11.21%K -56.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.84%EV -22.52%E -5.20%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -1.44%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.97%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +3.78%E +0.651%K +0.787%G +0.030% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -4.11%E -0.570%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -10.57%E -8.13%K -35.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.59%E -0.289%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.59%E -0.289%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Coral | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.59%E -0.289%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -5.76%E -4.20%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.25%EV -9.89%E -7.55%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.95%E -9.34%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -12.33%E -2.52%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.95%E -9.34%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -12.33%E -2.52%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -14.01%E -11.21%K -56.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.81%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.71%EV -12.10%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.55%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -17.69%E -3.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -11.26%E -8.73%K -38.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -15.90%E -3.38%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.07%EV -15.43%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -12.33%E -2.52%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.09%E -3.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.09%E -3.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.09%E -3.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -20.09%E -3.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.42%EV -10.57%E -8.13%K -35.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -19.48%E -4.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.80% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.80% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.87% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.31% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.82% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.08% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.53% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.60% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |