La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Khaleej v Al-Nassr
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Khaleej (Local)
Predicción 13.32%7.51momio equitativo
EV +5.08%
Ventaja +0.644%
Kelly +0.738%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.45%13.46%13.42%14.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.037.007.8916.67%14.22%14.29%12.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Nassr (Visitante)
Predicción 68.79%1.45momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -2.64%
Kelly -9.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.42%68.79%68.43%71.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.321.4080.00%76.20%75.76%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.89%5.59momio equitativo
EV +3.78%
Ventaja +0.651%
Kelly +0.787%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.27%17.74%18.15%19.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.335.065.105.8023.09%19.75%19.61%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.89I 12.67%NM 12.29%EV +5.08%E +0.644%K +0.738%G +0.038% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.27%EV -3.70%E -2.64%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%EV -5.88%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Unibet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.57%E -8.13%K -35.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.57%E -8.13%K -35.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -14.01%E -11.21%K -56.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -1.59%E -0.289%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -14.01%E -11.21%K -56.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -1.59%E -0.289%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.45%EV -0.110%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 68.71%EV -14.01%E -11.21%K -56.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.84%EV -22.52%E -5.20%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -1.44%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.97%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +3.78%E +0.651%K +0.787%G +0.030% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -4.11%E -0.570%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -10.57%E -8.13%K -35.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.59%E -0.289%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.59%E -0.289%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Coral | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.59%E -0.289%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -5.76%E -4.20%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.25%EV -9.89%E -7.55%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.95%E -9.34%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -12.33%E -2.52%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.95%E -9.34%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -12.33%E -2.52%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -6.77%E -0.967%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -14.01%E -11.21%K -56.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.81%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.71%EV -12.10%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.55%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -8.75%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -17.69%E -3.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -11.26%E -8.73%K -38.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -15.90%E -3.38%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.07%EV -15.43%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.69%EV -9.20%E -6.97%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -12.33%E -2.52%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.09%E -3.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.09%E -3.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.09%E -3.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -8.51%E -6.40%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -20.09%E -3.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.42%EV -10.57%E -8.13%K -35.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -19.48%E -4.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.80% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.80% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.87% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.31% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.82% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.08% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.53% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.60% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |