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Al-Khaleej v Al-Hilal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Khaleej (Local)
Prediction 11.84%8.45fair odd
EV +17.09%
Edge +1.73%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.328%
assuming max odds 9.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%11.71%12.50%13.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.758.579.009.8914.81%11.67%11.11%10.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Hilal (Visit)
Prediction 71.39%1.40fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -3.79%
Kelly -15.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.33%71.51%70.98%75.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.241.221.3385.47%80.35%81.97%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.77%5.96fair odd
EV +8.98%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.147%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.26%16.78%16.52%19.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.735.756.5022.22%17.45%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Khaleej (Local): 11.84%; Al-Hilal (Visit): 71.39%; Draw: 16.77%. For Al-Khaleej (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.45. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.89I 10.11%NM 9.58%EV +17.09%E +1.73%K +1.92%G +0.328% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -9.33%E -7.35%K -34.55%G +0.000% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 15.82%EV +0.429%E +0.072%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.79I 10.21%NM 9.92%EV +15.90%E +1.62%K +1.81%G +0.288% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.13%EV -6.47%E -4.94%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.95%EV +2.11%E +0.346%K +0.414%G +0.009% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +8.98%E +1.38%K +1.63%G +0.147% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 15:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 17:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -14.33%E -11.94%K -71.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 17:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -14.33%E -11.94%K -71.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 17:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +6.55%E +0.728%K +0.819%G +0.054% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -10.76%E -8.61%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -4.43%E -0.778%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-05 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV +6.55%E +0.728%K +0.819%G +0.054% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV +6.55%E +0.728%K +0.819%G +0.054% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.50%EV -15.75%E -13.35%K -87.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.60%EV +2.27%E +0.373%K +0.446%G +0.010% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV +6.55%E +0.728%K +0.819%G +0.054% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.50%EV -15.75%E -13.35%K -87.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.60%EV +2.27%E +0.373%K +0.446%G +0.010% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.81%EV +6.55%E +0.728%K +0.819%G +0.054% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.47%EV -16.47%E -14.08%K -96.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.72%EV +0.597%E +0.099%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 13.2% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV +0.632%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV +0.632%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -24.55%E -5.46%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.90%E -6.12%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.76%E -8.61%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-05 17:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.76%E -8.61%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-05 17:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.76%E -8.61%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-05 17:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.76%E -8.61%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-05 17:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.21%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -5.04%E -3.79%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.59%E -0.625%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.21%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -5.04%E -3.79%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.59%E -0.625%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -11.21%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.04%E -3.79%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.53%EV -14.17%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.96%EV -8.61%E -6.73%K -30.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 17:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -17.13%E -2.45%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.05%EV -8.61%E -6.73%K -30.77%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.96%EV -4.43%E -0.778%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -17.13%E -2.45%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -7.90%E -6.12%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -20.09%E -2.98%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.47%EV -9.33%E -7.35%K -34.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.86% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.35% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |