La scuola delle quote

Al-Khaleej v Al-Hilal

Inizio: 2026-05-05 18:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Khaleej 1–2 Al-Hilal

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Khaleej (Casa)

Previsione 11.84%8.45quota equa
EV +17.09%
Vantaggio +1.73%
Kelly +1.92%
Crescita +0.328%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.58%11.71%12.50%13.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.758.579.009.8914.81%11.67%11.11%10.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Hilal (Trasferta)

Previsione 71.39%1.40quota equa
EV -5.04%
Vantaggio -3.79%
Kelly -15.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.33%71.51%70.98%75.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.241.221.3385.47%80.35%81.97%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 16.77%5.96quota equa
EV +8.98%
Vantaggio +1.38%
Kelly +1.63%
Crescita +0.147%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.26%16.78%16.52%19.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.735.756.5022.22%17.45%17.39%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle9.89I 10.11%NM 9.58%EV +17.09%E +1.73%K +1.92%G +0.328%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -9.33%E -7.35%K -34.55%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.82%EV +0.429%E +0.072%K +0.086%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 17:50
1xBet9.79I 10.21%NM 9.92%EV +15.90%E +1.62%K +1.81%G +0.288%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.13%EV -6.47%E -4.94%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.95%EV +2.11%E +0.346%K +0.414%G +0.009%3.0%2026-05-05 17:55
Unibet (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +8.98%E +1.38%K +1.63%G +0.147%7.9%2026-05-05 15:49
Unibet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044%8.5%2026-05-05 17:49
Unibet (NL)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044%8.5%2026-05-05 17:50
Grosvenor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044%8.5%2026-05-05 17:50
Unibet (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044%8.5%2026-05-05 17:50
ATG (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044%8.5%2026-05-05 17:50
Svenska Spel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044%8.5%2026-05-05 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -14.33%E -11.94%K -71.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044%9.9%2026-05-05 17:19
LeoVegas9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -14.33%E -11.94%K -71.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044%9.9%2026-05-05 17:19
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +6.55%E +0.728%K +0.819%G +0.054%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -10.76%E -8.61%K -43.03%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -4.43%E -0.778%K -0.943%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 17:20
SportsBet9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV +6.55%E +0.728%K +0.819%G +0.054%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 17:55
LiveScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV +6.55%E +0.728%K +0.819%G +0.054%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.50%EV -15.75%E -13.35%K -87.52%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.60%EV +2.27%E +0.373%K +0.446%G +0.010%12.3%2026-05-05 17:50
Virgin Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV +6.55%E +0.728%K +0.819%G +0.054%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.50%EV -15.75%E -13.35%K -87.52%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.60%EV +2.27%E +0.373%K +0.446%G +0.010%12.3%2026-05-05 17:50
PMU (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 9.81%EV +6.55%E +0.728%K +0.819%G +0.054%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.47%EV -16.47%E -14.08%K -96.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.72%EV +0.597%E +0.099%K +0.119%G +0.001%13.2%2026-05-05 17:50
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV +0.632%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV +0.632%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -24.55%E -5.46%K -7.02%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-05 17:55
betfred_uk8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.90%E -6.12%K -27.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 17:50
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.76%E -8.61%K -43.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-05 17:19
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.76%E -8.61%K -43.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-05 17:19
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.76%E -8.61%K -43.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-05 17:19
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.76%E -8.61%K -43.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-05 17:19
Sky Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-05 17:55
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.21%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -5.04%E -3.79%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.59%E -0.625%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.21%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -5.04%E -3.79%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.59%E -0.625%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 17:55
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -11.21%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.04%E -3.79%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 17:55
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.53%EV -14.17%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.96%EV -8.61%E -6.73%K -30.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 17:54
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -17.13%E -2.45%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.05%EV -8.61%E -6.73%K -30.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.96%EV -4.43%E -0.778%K -0.943%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 17:55
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -17.13%E -2.45%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -7.90%E -6.12%K -27.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 17:55
Winamax (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -20.09%E -2.98%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.47%EV -9.33%E -7.35%K -34.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-05 17:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.86%0.9%2026-05-05 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-05-05 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-05-05 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-05-05 17:50
Smarkets10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.35%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%1.9%2026-05-05 17:55