La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Khaleej v Al-Hilal
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Khaleej (Local)
Predicción 11.84%8.45momio equitativo
EV +17.09%
Ventaja +1.73%
Kelly +1.92%
Crecimiento +0.328%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.58%11.71%12.50%13.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.758.579.009.8914.81%11.67%11.11%10.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Hilal (Visitante)
Predicción 71.39%1.40momio equitativo
EV -5.04%
Ventaja -3.79%
Kelly -15.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.33%71.51%70.98%75.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.241.221.3385.47%80.35%81.97%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 16.77%5.96momio equitativo
EV +8.98%
Ventaja +1.38%
Kelly +1.63%
Crecimiento +0.147%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.26%16.78%16.52%19.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.735.756.5022.22%17.45%17.39%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 9.89I 10.11%NM 9.58%EV +17.09%E +1.73%K +1.92%G +0.328% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -9.33%E -7.35%K -34.55%G +0.000% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 15.82%EV +0.429%E +0.072%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| 1xBet | 9.79I 10.21%NM 9.92%EV +15.90%E +1.62%K +1.81%G +0.288% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.13%EV -6.47%E -4.94%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.95%EV +2.11%E +0.346%K +0.414%G +0.009% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +8.98%E +1.38%K +1.63%G +0.147% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 15:49 |
| Unibet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 17:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| Grosvenor | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -14.33%E -11.94%K -71.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 17:19 |
| LeoVegas | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +12.47%E +1.31%K +1.47%G +0.183% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -14.33%E -11.94%K -71.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV +4.79%E +0.766%K +0.912%G +0.044% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 17:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +6.55%E +0.728%K +0.819%G +0.054% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -10.76%E -8.61%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -4.43%E -0.778%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-05 17:20 |
| SportsBet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV +6.55%E +0.728%K +0.819%G +0.054% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV +6.55%E +0.728%K +0.819%G +0.054% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.50%EV -15.75%E -13.35%K -87.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.60%EV +2.27%E +0.373%K +0.446%G +0.010% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV +6.55%E +0.728%K +0.819%G +0.054% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.50%EV -15.75%E -13.35%K -87.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.60%EV +2.27%E +0.373%K +0.446%G +0.010% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.81%EV +6.55%E +0.728%K +0.819%G +0.054% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.47%EV -16.47%E -14.08%K -96.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.72%EV +0.597%E +0.099%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 13.2% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| Paddy Power | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV +0.632%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV +0.632%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -24.55%E -5.46%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| betfred_uk | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.90%E -6.12%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| 888sport | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.76%E -8.61%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-05 17:19 |
| William Hill | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.76%E -8.61%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-05 17:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.76%E -8.61%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-05 17:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.76%E -8.61%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-05 17:19 |
| Sky Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -5.29%E -0.661%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Coral | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.21%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -5.04%E -3.79%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.59%E -0.625%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.21%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -5.04%E -3.79%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.59%E -0.625%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -11.21%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.04%E -3.79%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.53%EV -14.17%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.96%EV -8.61%E -6.73%K -30.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 17:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -17.13%E -2.45%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.05%EV -8.61%E -6.73%K -30.77%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.96%EV -4.43%E -0.778%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -17.13%E -2.45%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -7.90%E -6.12%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -20.09%E -2.98%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.47%EV -9.33%E -7.35%K -34.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.86% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.35% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |