Language:English
Al-Khaleej v Al-Hilal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Khaleej (Local)
Prediction 10.64%9.40fair odd
EV +14.94%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.228%
assuming max odds 10.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.76%10.53%10.38%11.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.638.3010.8013.33%11.58%12.05%9.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Hilal (Visit)
Prediction 72.35%1.38fair odd
EV -5.94%
Edge -4.57%
Kelly -19.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.11%72.44%72.77%75.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.251.3083.33%80.02%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.00%5.88fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.237%
Kelly -0.286%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.79%17.03%16.85%18.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.315.225.8020.83%18.84%19.14%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Khaleej (Local): 10.64%; Al-Hilal (Visit): 72.35%; Draw: 17.00%. For Al-Khaleej (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.40. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.95%EV +14.94%E +1.38%K +1.52%G +0.228% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.33%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.72%EV -1.71%E -0.296%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV +11.74%E +1.12%K +1.24%G +0.145% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -11.73%E -9.61%K -53.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -1.37%E -0.237%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV +6.42%E +0.642%K +0.714%G +0.046% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.06%EV -11.73%E -9.61%K -53.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -1.37%E -0.237%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.56I 10.46%NM 9.88%EV +1.74%E +0.182%K +0.203%G +0.004% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.76%EV -7.39%E -5.77%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.36%EV -1.88%E -0.326%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.10%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV +1.10%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -13.18%E -10.98%K -65.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV +1.10%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -13.18%E -10.98%K -65.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-28 17:46 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -18.38%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 17:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -18.38%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 17:46 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -18.38%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 17:46 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -9.54%E -1.12%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.73%E -9.61%K -53.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -9.54%E -1.12%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.68%EV -11.73%E -9.61%K -53.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 8.10I 12.35%NM 10.84%EV -13.80%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.95%EV -11.73%E -9.61%K -53.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -13.28%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.33%EV -8.84%E -7.01%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -4.77%E -0.852%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-28 17:56 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 17:46 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 17:46 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 17:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 17:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.36%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -13.28%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 17:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-28 17:46 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.44%EV -11.01%E -8.95%K -47.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-28 17:11 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.44%EV -11.01%E -8.95%K -47.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-28 17:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -20.18%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.52%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -8.17%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -20.18%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.52%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -8.17%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 17:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.39%EV -20.18%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 71.18%EV -13.18%E -10.98%K -65.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.43%EV -16.68%E -3.40%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-28 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.86% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.98% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 1.2% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.98% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 1.2% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.60% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 1.3% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |