Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Khaleej v Al-Hilal

Inizio: 2026-08-28 18:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Khaleej 1–5 Al-Hilal

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Khaleej (Casa)

Previsione 10.64%9.40quota equa
EV +14.94%
Vantaggio +1.38%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescita +0.228%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.76%10.53%10.38%11.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.508.638.3010.8013.33%11.58%12.05%9.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Hilal (Trasferta)

Previsione 72.35%1.38quota equa
EV -5.94%
Vantaggio -4.57%
Kelly -19.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.11%72.44%72.77%75.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.251.251.3083.33%80.02%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 17.00%5.88quota equa
EV -1.37%
Vantaggio -0.237%
Kelly -0.286%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.79%17.03%16.85%18.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.315.225.8020.83%18.84%19.14%17.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Khaleej (Casa): 10.64%; Al-Hilal (Trasferta): 72.35%; Pareggio: 17.00%. Per Al-Khaleej (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 9.40. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 10.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +14.94%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯10.80I 9.26%NM 8.95%EV +14.94%E +1.38%K +1.52%G +0.228%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.33%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.72%EV -1.71%E -0.296%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-28 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV +11.74%E +1.12%K +1.24%G +0.145%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -11.73%E -9.61%K -53.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -1.37%E -0.237%K -0.286%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:35
SportsBet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV +6.42%E +0.642%K +0.714%G +0.046%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.06%EV -11.73%E -9.61%K -53.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -1.37%E -0.237%K -0.286%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 17:45
Pinnacle🎯9.56I 10.46%NM 9.88%EV +1.74%E +0.182%K +0.203%G +0.004%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.76%EV -7.39%E -5.77%K -26.39%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.36%EV -1.88%E -0.326%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 17:59
Coral🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.10%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV +1.10%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -13.18%E -10.98%K -65.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 17:50
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV +1.10%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -13.18%E -10.98%K -65.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 17:55
betfred_uk🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 17:46
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -18.38%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 17:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -18.38%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 17:46
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -18.38%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 17:46
William Hill🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -9.54%E -1.12%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.73%E -9.61%K -53.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 17:55
Sky Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -9.54%E -1.12%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.68%EV -11.73%E -9.61%K -53.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-28 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 10.84%EV -13.80%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.95%EV -11.73%E -9.61%K -53.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -13.28%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-28 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.33%EV -8.84%E -7.01%K -33.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -4.77%E -0.852%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 17:56
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 17:45
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 17:46
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 17:46
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 17:46
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 17:46
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.36%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -13.28%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 17:46
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-28 17:46
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.44%EV -11.01%E -8.95%K -47.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-28 17:11
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.44%EV -11.01%E -8.95%K -47.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-28 17:11
Winamax (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -20.18%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.52%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -8.17%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -20.18%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.52%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -8.17%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.39%EV -20.18%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 71.18%EV -13.18%E -10.98%K -65.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.43%EV -16.68%E -3.40%K -4.28%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-28 17:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-08-28 17:55
Kalshi◎11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.86%0.9%2026-08-28 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.98%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.2%2026-08-28 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.98%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.2%2026-08-28 17:50
Smarkets◎11.49I 8.70%NM 8.60%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.3%2026-08-28 17:55