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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Al-Khaleej v Al-Hilal

开赛时间： 2026-08-28 18:00 UTC

最终结果： Al-Khaleej 1–5 Al-Hilal

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Khaleej (主队)

预测 10.64%9.40公平赔率
EV +14.94%
优势 +1.38%
Kelly +1.52%
增长率 +0.228%

假设最高赔率为 10.80

博彩公司预测分布
8.76%10.53%10.38%11.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.508.638.3010.8013.33%11.58%12.05%9.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Hilal (客队)

预测 72.35%1.38公平赔率
EV -5.94%
优势 -4.57%
Kelly -19.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.30

博彩公司预测分布
71.11%72.44%72.77%75.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.201.251.251.3083.33%80.02%80.00%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 17.00%5.88公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.237%
Kelly -0.286%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.80

博彩公司预测分布
15.79%17.03%16.85%18.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.315.225.8020.83%18.84%19.14%17.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Khaleej (主队)：10.64%；Al-Hilal (客队)：72.35%；平局：17.00%。 对于“Al-Khaleej (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.40。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为10.80，对应+14.94%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯10.80I 9.26%NM 8.95%EV +14.94%E +1.38%K +1.52%G +0.228%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.33%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.72%EV -1.71%E -0.296%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-28 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV +11.74%E +1.12%K +1.24%G +0.145%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -11.73%E -9.61%K -53.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -1.37%E -0.237%K -0.286%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:35
SportsBet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV +6.42%E +0.642%K +0.714%G +0.046%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.06%EV -11.73%E -9.61%K -53.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -1.37%E -0.237%K -0.286%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 17:45
Pinnacle🎯9.56I 10.46%NM 9.88%EV +1.74%E +0.182%K +0.203%G +0.004%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.76%EV -7.39%E -5.77%K -26.39%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.36%EV -1.88%E -0.326%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 17:59
Coral🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.10%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV +1.10%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -13.18%E -10.98%K -65.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 17:50
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV +1.10%E +0.116%K +0.130%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -13.18%E -10.98%K -65.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 17:55
betfred_uk🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 17:46
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -18.38%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 17:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -18.38%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 17:46
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -4.22%E -0.469%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -18.38%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 17:46
William Hill🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -9.54%E -1.12%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.73%E -9.61%K -53.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 17:55
Sky Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -9.54%E -1.12%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.68%EV -11.73%E -9.61%K -53.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-28 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 10.84%EV -13.80%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.95%EV -11.73%E -9.61%K -53.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -13.28%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-28 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.33%EV -8.84%E -7.01%K -33.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -4.77%E -0.852%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 17:56
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 17:45
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 17:46
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 17:46
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 17:46
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 17:46
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -8.11%E -6.39%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.36%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -13.28%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 17:46
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-28 17:46
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.44%EV -11.01%E -8.95%K -47.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-28 17:11
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%EV -14.86%E -1.86%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.44%EV -11.01%E -8.95%K -47.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-28 17:11
Winamax (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -20.18%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.52%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -8.17%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -20.18%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.52%EV -9.56%E -7.65%K -38.23%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -8.17%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.39%EV -20.18%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 71.18%EV -13.18%E -10.98%K -65.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.43%EV -16.68%E -3.40%K -4.28%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-28 17:45
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-08-28 17:55
Kalshi◎11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.86%0.9%2026-08-28 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.98%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.2%2026-08-28 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.98%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.2%2026-08-28 17:50
Smarkets◎11.49I 8.70%NM 8.60%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.3%2026-08-28 17:55